New England Patriots Team Capsule
Was Beck singing about a Utopia or the New England offense?
What Went Right
“Put your hands on the wheel and let the Golden Age begin,” sang Beck on his Sea Change album. Most assuredly, he was talking about some sort of Utopia or maybe the Patriot offense in 2007. New England shattered offensive records in large part thanks to Tom Brady and the team’s wildly successful passing game. By the numbers, it’s the greatest single season passing offense in league history. Whether it’s Brady’s 50 touchdown passes, Randy Moss’ 23 touchdown receptions or Wes Welker’s league-leading 112 catches, an offense that averaged 36 points per game served as a fantasy owner’s dream. Defensively, they weren’t too shabby either. Despite being armed with linebackers nearly ready to collect AARP cards, the Pat defense allowed only 17 points per game and finished fourth overall.
What Went Wrong
Believe it or not, there were flaws to a team that went 16-0 (typing 18-1 would pay respect to the ‘72 Dolphins and I refuse to be a part of such a demeaning concept). Everyone talks about the great pass rush that the Giants put on Brady in the Super Bowl. However, I think the struggles of the New England running game was a significant problem as well. The Pats mustered just 45 yards rushing in their shocking 17-14 loss. Laurence Maroney carried 14 times for 36 yards and ended the way he started the year — quietly. Granted, the pass-happy Pats brutalized teams with throwing downfield earlier on but the running game did not get cranked up until the bombs away approach finally met resistance towards season’s end. Maroney did not outperform backup Sammy Morris early on in the season. He finally got going when the weather turned colder and the defenses stiffened. However, his lack of consistency helped doom the Pats in the desert.
Off-season Outlook
The team’s offseason was filled with visions of Arlen Specter and Spygate off the field, but free agent defections related to on-field activities will have the greatest impact on the ’08 Pats. Cornerbacks Asante Samuel and Randall Gay and safety Eugene Wilson pursued greener pastures, receiver Donte Stallworth left for Cleveland, and the team released linebacker Rosevelt Colvin. These losses caused patchwork solutions that may make New England vulnerable — especially in the secondary. Instead of overpaying vets, the front office elected to show younger (and cheaper) players the “Patriot Way.”
Draft Review
When a team sets the NFL scoring record during the previous season, selecting offensive players is not a glaring necessity. Defense was the order of the draft for New England. The team added much-needed youth to its linebacking corps by adding Jerrod Mayo and Shawn Crable in the first and third rounds, respectively. Then, the Pats replenished their secondary with the additions of cornerbacks Terrence Wheatley and Jonathan Wilhite in the second and fourth rounds.
State of the Team
Quarterbacks
Thomas Edward Patrick Brady is fantasy football’s consensus top quarterback and rightfully so. Nonetheless, those waiting for an ’07 repeat need to temper their expectations. Peyton Manning, Dan Marino and Kurt Warner all suffered drop-offs the season following their 40+ touchdown campaigns. The recipe is there for Brady’s decline as well. Defenses caught on towards the end of the season and started putting more pressure on him. Considering New England’s competition in 2008, a fall could be in the cards. While the Patriots’ strength of schedule ranks dead last, they play against seven of the top ten passing defenses in the league. Brady is not going to reach 50 again but 28 to 30 touchdowns isn’t pedestrian either.
Running Backs
Maroney remains an enigma entering 2008. Many believed he would have a bust out campaign a season ago. Instead, he produced one 100-yard rushing performance in the season’s first 13 games. He must shed the “injury-prone” label as well. Maroney has been banged up throughout his first couple of years and missed three games last season with a groin injury. For reasons mentioned in the previous section, he’ll be a key figure in the Patriot offensive scheme. Maroney is amongst the second round tier of backs in fantasy land. Should he struggle, backup Morris proved last year that he could move the chains in a reserve role. He produced back-to-back 100-yard rushing efforts before suffering a season-ending chest injury against Dallas.
Wide Receivers
Towards the end of the season, Randy Moss did not have quite the same impact as earlier in the year. In the final six games of the season (including the playoffs), Moss averaged just 53 yards per game. During the first six games, he averaged 101 yards a game. Opponents pressured Brady effectively and did a better job of scheming against the Pats by season’s end. Moss is too good not be an explosive player again, but — much like Brady — he’s set to endure a bit of a drop from ’07. Yet, that still makes him one of the top fantasy options at receiver. The guy who provides the most intrigue is Welker, who turned into Brady’s go-to guy at the end of the year. Overall, some fantasy pundits seem almost way too high on him right now. Defenses should be a bit more prepared to slow down Welker, especially on third down when he killed teams. He’s a number two receiver on teams in larger leagues, but be careful. Don’t automatically assume he’ll repeat his mammoth ’07. Jabar Gaffney and Chad Jackson round out this explosive group of receivers. Jackson, a former first round pick, needs to produce, otherwise his days in Foxborough are numbered.
Tight Ends
Ben Watson is coming off ankle surgery and his productivity remains a question mark. He has yet to show that he is a top level tight end. Whenever he shows flashes, an injury is soon to follow. Lucky for Watson though, he has a future Hall of Fame quarterback who’ll get him the ball. Kyle Brady is gone, while in his stead, the team added veteran Marcus Pollard, who is likely to serve as Watson’s backup. Dave Thomas returns as a reserve.
Defense/Special Teams
The defense is younger, but more inexperienced than previous seasons. They’ll be a better unit by season’s end, assuming the secondary doesn’t get ravaged by injury, which seems to be the status quo in most years for the Patriots. New England’s kick and punt return teams are solid. Welker is a more reliable option at punt returner while Jackson still has much to prove before being considered a reliable kick returner. As long as Lord Belichick is anywhere near the defense, they’ll be amongst the league’s best.
C Jackson was a 2nd round pick
[...] England Patriots News » News New England Patriots Team Capsule2008-07-26 13:59:44byOn or … was talking about a Utopia or the Golden Age begin,” sang Beck [...]
I thought, as a 30 year Pats fan, that you had a very good analysis—there will be no 16-0 this year.
The Pats have known and unknown commodities at this point….thinkers will have to be concerned that the efforts of opponents to beat New England may very well focus on attacking the unknown commodities…….because the known commodities seem to be difficult to cope with historically.
I don’t wonder but the rookie linebacker, the CB opposite Hobbs, and the safeties will come in for a lot of action…….that they may in fact not be able to deal with.
Paraphrased: If there are chinks in the armor……they’ll be in the new armor……..not the old.
Rcaron- You are correct sir. That’s a mistake on my part. In fact, Laurence Maroney was the first round pick
in ‘06.
Geoffrey- I agree with you. The young pups/veteran newcomers will be under fire. I think it’ll take a few weeks for them to adjust. It’s funny because on paper they had a much tougher schedule a season ago then what they’ll face this year but there is a lot to sort out on defense. From a historical perspective, it’ll be very intriguing to see how the Pats respond after the Super Bowl. In the past, teams that lose those type of games don’t recover so quickly. I’m definitely looking forward to see what Belichick has up his sleeve.
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Derek—-I agree with you as well—–but I think the “adjusting” can take 16 weeks if needs be [but it shouldn't]
If the team is trim and fit for the playoffs—-and “rolling strong” then they’ve got a good chance to run the table to another SB appearance. It doesn’t matter 14-2, 13-3, if the new puppies are doin’ it by then it’ll get done.
No one is [seriously] going to volunteer the Jets, Dolphins, or Bills as true challengers to the AFC East birth in the playoffs. The Pats are “in” barring catastrophic injury to Brady………we’ll see what they are fielding and how they’re playing at that point……..
Those circumstances at that moment……will set the pins for the bowling ball.
Geoffrey,
Alas, Golden Brett has arrived in the AFC East. I don’t think it’ll change things much though. I think the Jets will be playoff contenders but anything more than that will be tough.
As for the Pats, I agree that barring injury to the big guy they’ll be back in the mix again.
It’ll come down to a lot of things for them including their playoff draw which was tough last year.
The bermuda triangle of the AFC (Colts, Pats, Chargers) will be tough again.
Ahhhh…..the Golden Brett….is tarnished and decrepit in the eyes of the home org which knew him best….or he’d still be there.
Can he still “do it”?
Or does he fill the stadium stands for another year at a rebuilding Jets franchise? [NYC fans will watch and attend but the Jets aren't going anywhere, sleight of hand]
Will he shine?
Or be ugly like certain vets that take a year+ to get into the system?
I’ll say Damn Yankees……with home plate too far for the olde boy to carry them. No playoffs for the Jets this year from here.
It could get sad…..and it may start ugly instead of pretty. A front office ploy with new toy….that could turn nearly pathetic….but probably won’t.
If someone might emerge?
I’ll go with the [last year] injury plagued Bills…..who finished well….when the vigorous and active began returning.
Miami? No threat from last year’s “Who can lose the most?” draft pick competition. Almost no one comes from the dead hole to challenge…….and the Parcellian “MAGIC” is all media hype.