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FBTM Slow Draft Review

January 14, 2010 | By Todd Habiger | comment on this post
Ian Kinsler had another great year for the Texas Rangers.
As good as Ian Kinsler was last year, Todd believes Aaron Hill was even better.

As you’ve already read, fellow RotoRob.com writer Tim McLeod and myself were invited to take part in the Fantasy Baseball Trade Market Slow mock draft. While I landed in the No. 2 spot of the draft, this is the first expert draft I’d ever been involved with, so to say I was a little intimidated was an understatement. My goals for this draft were: (a) not to embarrass myself; and (b) draft the best damn team out there.

We’re currently into the 11th round of a 23-round draft, so I’ll give you a recap of my draft so far, as well as my thoughts on each round.

Round One

With the second overall pick in the draft, I took Hanley Ramirez. Yes, I would have preferred Albert Pujols, but a five-category stud in a not so deep position is nice consolation.

Florida Marlins Gear

Round Two

After the long wait of 20 picks, I took a gamble early and went with Aaron Hill. He had better numbers than Chase Utley and Ian Kinsler last year. Now I’m not naive enough to think he can repeat 2009’s numbers, but if he can come close, I’ll be happy. Last year’s stinker of a season didn’t scare teams away from Grady Sizemore, who went in the middle of this round.

Round Three

Sticking wth building my infield, I went with Ryan Zimmerman over Justin Morneau, Adrian Gonzalez or Kevin Youkilis here. I’m really liking the way my team’s pop is coming along at this point. However, I’m not happy about my lack of speed. Adam Lind goes two spots after my Zimmerman pick which is obviously a big leap from where he was going last year. Ichiro Suzuki goes late this round also. I’m continually surprised by how much love people have for this guy. Yes, he hits a ton, but he doesn’t really help in the HR and RBI categories and there are lots of guys who can steal the bases he does. In my opinion, Ichiro is one of the most overrated Fantasy players ever. Also in this round, the first pitcher (Tim Lincecum) is taken off the board, and surprisingly he’s taken by Tim – an ardent believer in offence first. He’s definitely going against the trend.

Round Four

I addressed the speed issue here by taking B.J. Upton in the hopes that he shows some progress this year after the dog he put up in 2009. At the very least, I overpaid for stolen bases. At this point, the second pitcher goes off the board in Zack Greinke.

Round Five

My man Youkilis was still handing around, and considering I had thought of taking him two rounds ago, I snatch him up. The first closer comes off the board right after I make my pick, with Jonathan Broxton starting a run of the big four in closers as Joe Nathan, Jonathan Papelbon and Mariano Rivera all go before the end of the round.

Round Six

I decided that this is the round I want to start building my pitching staff. The rest of the experts are waiting a long time on pitchers, so it’s time to make my move. Unfortunately, I was hoping for Dan Haren, but he went two spots before my pick. So I settle for Justin Verlander.

Round Seven

I took another high strikeout pitcher in Josh Beckett here. Some high risk players start to go this round with Derrek Lee, Alfonso Soriano and Andrew McCutchen going right after Beckett. McLeod takes my personal favourite, Adam Jones.

Round Eight

I had my heart ripped out at this point when Gordon Beckham went one spot before my pick. Distraught, I consoled myself with more pitching, taking Matt Cain. I thought long and hard about Tommy Hanson, but decided to go with the more established track record of Cain.

Round Nine

At this point, Bobby Abreu – he of the seven straight 100 RBI seasons – was still sitting around. Yes, his power has faded, but he still flashes some speed. So if he can get me 20+ stolen bases, I’ll be happy. The run on burners started with Michael Bourn and Nyjer Morgan going in this round.

Round 10

The need for speed kept on going, as Elvis Andrus, Juan Pierre and Rajai Davis all went in Round 10. Personally, I opted for Denard Span — not the stolen base threat of the players mentioned above, but he won’t kill me with single digit RBI totals and non existent home runs.

Round 11

I made this pick amid great chaos at home. After settling on Brad Hawpe I just couldn’t pull the trigger so I zeroed in on a closer, only to feel that none was worth the risk at this point. Enter Russell Martin, who became my choice. I’m betting on a bounce back season from the young catcher.

We’re about to enter the money rounds now and I’ll be looking at players with upside here. It’s my belief that Pujols doesn’t win you Fantasy titles, but rather Lind or Aaron Hill do – guys who you pick up on a hunch late in the draft that turn in monster years. It’s just a matter of making the right pick. Easy, right?

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16 Responses to “FBTM Slow Draft Review”

  1. Great re-cap, Todd. Thanks, again, for participating in the slow mock. I’m honored to have you on board.

  2. Todd Habiger says:

    Thanks Bob. It’s been a fun draft. I’m thankful to be a part of it.

  3. Tim McLeod says:

    Good job bro. I like your team, especially the corners. Third base gets pretty dreadful very quick this year and to manage to snag both Zimmerman and Youk is a job well done. You interested in trading one of them for a SP?

  4. Todd Habiger says:

    Thanks, Tim. The draft has been a blast. I like the way you went against trend and went for pitching early. It’s been interesting so far. I can’t wait to see how things end up.

  5. Yes, Tim. Please follow that pitching heavy strategy in the FBTM Premier League draft this year. It looks good on you. No, really, I mean it. :)

  6. Tim McLeod says:

    Thanks Bob! Stepping outside of what I consider my comfort zone has been fun, but I will probably be passing on this strategy come March. The power is just too short this year, so I believe I’ll be heading in that direction. That being said, if Lincecum falls to the end of the third round in your site league I’d have a tough time passing.

  7. Tim McLeod says:

    Ooops, that should have been “to” instead of “I’ll” in the second sentence. Nice job on the proof reading Tim.

  8. Todd, thanks for the insight into your drafting process. I’ve never really liked drafting 1st or 2nd, because of the long wait between your first and second picks, but I have to say, you’ve done a good job populating your roster to this point. I, too like to fill my infield before position scarcity raises its ugly noggin. I do prefer to wait on catcher if I don’t manage to get Mauer, Martinez or McCann, so your Martin pick didn’t impact me the way some of your others did.
    I don’t think you need to worry about meeting either of your goals, if you keep this up.

  9. [...] thanks go out to Todd Habiger of RotoRob.com who gives us his review of the draft through the first eleven rounds.  Plus, Todd lets us in on his little secret … this is the [...]

  10. Todd says:

    Thanks Ivar. I really hate that long wait also. Hard to make any plans until a few picks after the turn. With the outfield pretty deep I thought it best to concentrate on the infield. I’m usually a wait on catchers sort of guy also, but had a weak moment.

  11. Joel Henard says:

    Tim. Lincecum would never make that far in the draft. LOL I would take him first. :)

  12. Todd says:

    I think in most drafts Joel you’re right. I’m surprised that Linceum fell that far but these guys wait on pitching as long as they can. Even now as we go into the 13th round there are some damn fine pitchers out there that I could make a nice staff out of. I think most people have been burned by the “sure thing” pitcher before. I know I have. If you look at the guys from FantasyPhenoms.com, they’re following a 7×7 draft strategy where they draft seven offensive players first followed by seven pitches. It’s worked out pretty well for them.

  13. [...] 3. Ryan Zimmerman, Washington Nationals (8): Zimmerman stayed healthy last year and put up a career season along the way. He had a career high in runs scored and averaged a long ball every 18.5 at bats – a massive increase on his previous high. He’s been going in the third round in recent mocks. [...]

  14. [...] regress and had the worst slugging percentage since his rookie season, Sizemore has slipped to a mid second round pick. On the plus side, with Sizemore shifting from leadoff to the two-hole, we can expect him to drive [...]

  15. [...] Francisco Giants (2): This workhorse should be the first pitcher taken in your draft, likely in the third round if recent mocks are any indication. Last year, the diminutive righty cut his already miniscule home [...]

  16. [...] even if you don’t, no one can dispute he’s the NL’s pre-eminent saves man. Expect to use your fifth rounder to bag Broxton, who’s first full season as a closer was a resounding success, as he was [...]

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