The 2010 RotoRob MLB Draft Kit is in full swing now. As we wonder if the tiff between Barry Zito and Prince Fielder will rage on into the season, let’s continue with our Top 10 Lists that Fantasy Owners Always Wanted But Were Afraid to ask For.

Chicks may still dig the long ball, but too many Fantasy owners take power production for granted, choosing instead to over-stock their rosters with the Jacoby Ellsburys, Bobby Abreus and Chone Figginses of the world. When their draft enters its final rounds, these speed-hungry owners find themselves staring at a team fleet of foot yet feeble of stick. Immediate action is needed, but the big-time sluggers are long gone, and the Fantasy budget is wearing paper-thin. What to do, what to do? Glad you asked.

Fear not, the poor man’s power brokers are here. The players profiled below should all be available in the later rounds – or for a mere pittance of coin – in most Fantasy drafts, yet each has the ability (or potential) to put a heaping helping of taters on your Fantasy plate. Don’t look for across-the-board production from this lot: power’s their game, and many will drag your team totals down in at least two categories – usually batting average and/or stolen bases. But hey, we’re bottom feeding here, remember? Nevertheless, that doesn’t mean there aren’t a few tasty morsels tucked among the muck. Appetizing, huh? Well, if the thought of grabbing a 30-homer guy at the end of your draft doesn’t get the Pavlovian juices flowing, you may want to find another game. Grab a bat – it’s bustin’ time.

1. Paul Konerko, 1B, Chicago White Sox: Throw out his injury-marred 2008 campaign, and Konerko has jacked at least 28 homers in each of his last five seasons. It may surprise you to know that he is only 34 years old, so there’s almost certainly some gas left in his tank. Konerko plies his trade in a hitters’ park, and bats in the middle of a decent lineup, so the ribbies should be there as well. Don’t let his 2008 injury scare you away; Konerko has played at least 151 games in seven of his last nine seasons. The depth at first base this year is causing Konerko to fall a long way in many Fantasy drafts, so his potent bat should be available at a bargain basement price.

2. Nick Swisher, OF/1B, New York Yankees: Swisher’s first season in the Bronx was a success, as he smacked 29 homers and posted an OPS of 869. The switch-hitter has averaged 27.5 bombs over the last four seasons, and if he can learn to take advantage of the infamous Yankee Stadium right field porch, he could easily launch 30-plus dingers in 2010. Swisher’s perennially low batting average is offset by the fact that his razor-sharp eye helps him rack up a ton of walks and beefy OBP numbers. Keep that in mind if your league uses OBP and/or OPS as a stat cat.

3. Adam LaRoche, 1B, Arizona Diamondbacks: LaRoche has averaged just under 26 homers and 87 RBI over the past four seasons, but has escaped the notice of most Fantasy managers. He should bat in the middle of the D-Backs’ order, and the 30-year-old first sacker is a safe bet for another line in the .270-25-85 range. Chase Field is a very hitter-friendly yard, but only so-so when it comes to home run production. If LaRoche goes undrafted in your league, or is drafted then dropped, consider picking him up in mid-season – as both his career batting average and home run rate are typically much better in the second half.

4. Ryan Ludwick, OF, St. Louis Cardinals: Ludwick’s numbers took a nose-dive in 2009, plummeting from .299-37-113 in 2008 to a relatively meek .265-22-97 last season. There is reason for hope, though – as new Cardinals’ hitting coach Mark McGwire is already drawing rave reviews from Ludwick. No matter Big Mac’s effect, the fact remains that Ludwick should garner plenty of ribbies batting behind Albert Pujols and Matt Holliday – and a return to 30-plus dingers is a very real possibility. The departure of Rick Ankiel should result in more playing time for Ludwick this season, and hopefully he can parlay those extra at-bats into some Fantasy power production. Don’t wait too long on Ludwick; he and Konerko are the two players on this list who will be drafted in just about every Fantasy league.

5. Edwin Encarnacion, 3B, Toronto Blue Jays: After blasting 26 homers in 2008, Encarnacion opened the ‘09 season in a terrible slump – then suffered a chipped bone in his wrist in late April. The Reds dealt him to Toronto at the trade deadline, and Encarnacion responded by batting .274-7-20 in 95 at-bats in September and October. He underwent surgery for a bone spur in his wrist during the offseason, and is slated to open the season as the Jays’ starting third baseman. There is risk to drafting Encarnacion, but if he can stay healthy and focused, your draft day leap of faith could reward you handsomely. Don’t expect more than mediocre batting average numbers from Encarnacion, but a run at 30 homers is a definite possibility.

6. Garrett Jones, OF/1B, Pittsburgh Pirates: Jones had spent over a decade bouncing around the minors, but did he ever take advantage of the opportunity afforded him last season by the woeful Pirates. When the dust had settled, Jones had stunned the Fantasy baseball world by slugging 21 home runs, batting .293 and swiping 10 bases – in just 82 games. As the 2010 season looms, Jones is penciled in as the Buccos’ everyday right fielder, and everyone wonders, “Can he do it again?” If you have a bit of riverboat gambler in you, grab Jones late in your draft and hope that the bloom isn’t off the rose. There’s reason to believe: Jones batted .309 last September, and showed no signs of slowing down despite the fact that he was no longer an “unknown.” The power should still be there this season, and if Jones keeps running that’s just icing on the cake.

7. Troy Glaus, 1B, Atlanta Braves: Two words: “If healthy.” When Glaus is on the field, he’s capable of some big-time power numbers – as shown by his .270-27-99 line with St. Louis in 2008, and average of nearly 31 bombs per season between 2005 and 2008. He underwent right shoulder surgery in January 2009, and didn’t make it onto the field until September of last year, appearing in just 14 games. The move to first base should help protect Glaus’ fragile body, and indeed, he seems in fine fettle so far this spring. Expect one dinger every 20 at-bats or so from Glaus, but have a back up plan in place if he succumbs to the injury jinx again.

8. Cody Ross, OF, Florida Marlins: Ross has quietly – which is the way baseball-related things happen in south Florida – averaged 23 home runs and 82 RBI over the past two seasons, and he should at least match those numbers as the Marlins’ regular right fielder in 2010. The Marlins don’t figure to be an offensive juggernaut this season, but if young Cameron Maybin can fulfill his potential and Chris Coghlan continues to develop, there should be a few ducks on the pond for Ross.

9. Kevin Kouzmanoff, 3B, Oakland Athletics: Kouzmanoff possesses outstanding power, but has played his home games the past three seasons at PETCO park – where long fly balls go to die. Small wonder that the .261 career hitter owns a meager .239 career average at PETCO – though he has managed to average just under 20 homers and 82 RBI the past three seasons. While Oakland Coliseum isn’t exactly a hitter’s paradise, Kouz is 5-for-12 (.471) lifetime in his new home yard. The A’s will look to Kouzmanoff to provide some punch to what looks like a classic small-ball lineup this season, and he could very well lead the team in both homers and RBI.

10. J.J. Hardy, SS, Minnesota Twins: If you need some late-round pop out of your middle infielder’s spot, take a chance on the former Brewer, who smacked 50 homers between 2007 and 2008. He had a disastrous 2009 season, but his new digs in Minnesota could mean a revival for Hardy, who finished second among big league shortstops with 24 homers back in 2008. Draft Hardy late for his home run punch, and count it as a bonus if his batting average returns to the .280-ish levels of his glory days.

The 2009 RotoRob MLB Draft Kit continues today with our final installment of the Top 10 Lists Owners Fantasy Always Wanted But Were Afraid to Ask For. As an added bonus (how much do we love our readers?), here is an archive of all the Top 10 Lists:

Top 10 Contract Year Players
Top 10 Injury Benefactors
Top 10 Fourth Outfielders
Top 10 Sleepers
Top 10 Closers in Waiting
Top 10 Utility Players
Top 10 Flops
Top 10 Sources of Cheap Steals
Top 10 Rookies

When you get deep into your draft, it starts to become a bit of a crap shoot. But if you’re going to take fliers in that final round, why not select one with the RotoRob seal of approval? Here is a list of 10 players we like as last-round fliers.

1. Dexter Fowler, OF, Colorado Rockies: Fowler is my favourite sleeper rookie, though as Dickie V would say, “HE’S A RIP VAN WINKLE, BAY-BEE!!!” Which when translated into English (and Canadian, eh) means he’s a deep sleeper. Colorado has a lot of bodies out there even with Matt Holliday and Willy Taveras gone, but the team has pretty much proven to me they have no love for Ryan Spilborghs or Steve Smith, and Fowler has a ton of upside as he’d likely hit atop that Rockie lineup if he got the call.

2. Mat Gamel, 3B, Milwaukee Brewers: Yeah, I know his work at the hot corner makes Ryan Braun look like a young Scott Rolen, but the Crew has the uninspiring duo of Bill Hall and Mike Lamb penciled in ahead of Gamel. Sticking with the Braun example, Milwaukee broke camp in 2007 with Craig Counsell and Tony Graffanino at third base, but made the switch to Braun by late May. If Gamel gets the chance, he could make an impact around midseason.

3. Josh Fields, 3B, Chicago White Sox: Let’s go back to back with third basemen as Fields finally has a clear path with Joe Crede and his ailing back out of the Windy City. Fields hit 23 bombs in 2007 but washed out last year, thus dropping him off the radar of many a fantasy owners. He has had a very respectable spring and could be a steal if he re-emerges as the player everyone thought he’d be last year.

4. Alexi Casilla, 2B, Minnesota Twins: The Twins’ second sacker quietly posted a .281-7-50 line in fewer than 100 games and has plus speed (18 steals in 21 attempts over the past two years) to boot. The presence of Nick Punto and Brendan Harris means that Casilla may not be an everyday player when all three are healthy, but I’m rolling the dice on Casilla late in deep drafts.

5. Carlos Villanueva, RP, Milwaukee Brewers: Villanueva has had a rocky spring, but he went 2-2 with a 2.12 ERA and 62 Ks in 59 1/3 innings out of the bullpen last year. Plus, now that Trevor Hoffman is hurting, the ninth inning role is in his sights to open the season. He’ll probably end up as a set-up man for most of 2009, but don’t underestimate how quickly a 41-year-old closer can fade.

6. John Baker, C, Florida Marlins: Did anyone else happen to notice how well he played as a rookie last year? After posting an impressive .321 mark with Triple-A Albuquerque, Baker hit .299 with five home runs and 32 RBI in 61 games with the Marlins. I like him late in NL-only leagues or as your No. 2 backstop in deep mixed leagues that start two catchers.

7. Micah Hoffpauir, 1B/OF, Chicago Cubs: You’re just going to have indulge me here as I know Hoffpauir doesn’t carry the major league credentials of most of the players on this list. However, he hit .342 in limited work for the Cubbies last year and posted a .362-25-100 line for Triple-A Iowa. He’s a flier to be sure, but just take a look at Chicago’s outfield. Alfonso Soriano has missed 80 games the last two years, Kosuke Fukudome was a bust once pitchers figured him out and Milton Bradley couldn’t stay healthy if they played the game with a whiffle ball in zero gravity. I just love Hoffpauir’s potential.

8. Joe Crede, 3B, Minnesota Twins: Crede signed late this offseason, so is flying under the radar to an extent. That, combined with the competition that Brian Buscher is providing and the fact that Crede is coming off back surgery is causing many people to overlook him. But the fact is, Minny needs the pop that Crede can provide, so if he’s still sitting there in the final round, he could prove to be a very astute selection.

9. Randy Winn, OF, San Francisco Giants: This is a player that simply never gets any love, yet is consistently an attractive waiver wire choice early in the season once people remember he exists. Why not beat your fellow owners to the punch by actually drafting Winn?

10. Jared Burton, RP, Cincinnati Reds: Francisco Cordero is hobbling with a foot injury he suffered last fall and is getting lit up like a Christmas tree this spring. Burton, meanwhile, is completely off of most people’s radar, yet he stands to provide a fantastic return should Cordero get knocked out. We think Burton is worth the gamble.

We’re back with more of the 2009 RotoRob MLB Draft Kit, today with another of the Top 10 Lists Fantasy Owners Always Wanted, But Were Afraid to Ask For.

There’s nothing like the lure of a huge free agent deal to entice a player to reach down and find that extra gear. With this in mind, we identify our choices as the 10 best players who are entering their contract seasons in 2009. It may mean nothing, but it may be reason enough to nudge them up your draft boards. After all, money talks.

It’s important to note that are many key players who have player or team options in 2010 who may become free agents, but because of this uncertainty, we didn’t include them on this list. Highlights of this class include Victor Martinez, Carl Crawford, Jermaine Dye, Josh Beckett, Tim Hudson, Cliff Lee, Brandon Webb and Magglio Ordonez. Any or all of these players may approach 2009 the same way as those without contracts will, so bear this in mind.

1. Matt Holliday, OF, Oakland A’s: Holliday has been dealt from the only organization he’s ever known and heads to a new league, leaving behind one of the best hitter’s parks in the majors for one of the worst. He also gets deposited into a lineup that struggled to score runs last season; none of this is tantamount to a recipe for success in his walk year. But if Holliday can stay healthy this year, and get back to the 30-homer range, he’ll command some serious dollars as an under 30, power hitting outfielder with a career batting average of .319. However, it’s going to be a tough road for him to get there under these circumstances.

2. John Lackey, RHP, Los Angeles Angels: Lackey’s command wasn’t as sharp last season as during his 2007 breakout, but this is a serious bull capable of logging major innings. Last season he missed some time, but for several years, Lackey has been as durable a starter as there is, and this big Texan boy will get a king’s ransom if he’s allowed to hit the open market. Could this be the season he breaks through for a Cy Young award to punctuate his value?

3. Jason Bay, OF, Boston Red Sox: Bay stayed healthy last season, putting his down year in 2007 well into the past. Now in a position to be much more productive with Boston, look for Bay to scoff at any contract year stress (he’s clearly impervious to pressure) and put up a superb season. Then, this Canadian star will be able to write his own ticket.

4. Chipper Jones, 3B, Atlanta Braves: What? Chipper couldn’t delay his career-best .364 season by one year? Now, he’s going to have go out and do it again, only this time try to prove he can play even 140 games, but the fact that he’s already hurting this spring does not bode well for a healthier season. But bear in mind that at the age of 36 (and he’ll be 37 next month), Jones is probably playing for his last big contract, so let’s see if that incentive allows him to stay in the lineup more than he has in recent years. Will Atlanta pony up to bring back one of the greatest players ever to wear a Brave uni? Well, this much is sure: don’t expect Toronto to get in on the bidding.

5. Vladimir Guerrero, OF, Los Angeles Angels: Guerrero looked like he was in constant pain by season’s end last year, and the results – the worst he’s done since he was a rookie – bore that out. Well, the knee is healthy now, and the addition of OBP king Bobby Abreu is sure to translate into a hell of a lot more production for Guerrero in 2009. Here’s a man with a lot to prove in his contract season and you can be sure that Vladdy wants to send the message loud and clear that at the age of 34 he’s not on a downward spiral.

6. Rich Harden, RHP, Chicago Cubs: Harden managed to make 25 starts for the first time since 2004 (and only second time in his six-year career), and the results were well worth the wait. Of course, the fact that he didn’t even average six innings per start might have helped matters there. But with his talent, if Harden can log 25 to 30 starts (although 30 seems a bit optimistic) and chalk up, say, 175 innings, he’ll cash in big time with someone, regardless of his injury history. A 27-year-old flameballer capable of fanning more than 11 batters per nine innings? Hell, we don’t need no stinking doctor to look him over. Sign him! And someone will as long as that right arm remains attached to his torso come season’s end. Will it be the Cubs? Depends on if they can finally land Jake Peavy or not.

7. Adrian Beltre, 3B, Seattle Mariners: This consistent power threat is not yet 30 (although he will be as of next month) and he showed much better plate discipline last season. The shoulder which he had surgery on this offseason is still tender, and that’s a concern, but with an improved Mariner offense, Beltre should be in line for a much more productive season in 2009, and the added incentive of impending free agency should be the carrot to help ensure that.

8. Erik Bedard, LHP, Seattle Mariners: The left-handed version of fellow Canadian Harden, Bedard has consistently battled injury demons, although not nearly as seriously as those faced by Harden. Well, he’s healthy now and should be bound and determined to recapture his near Cy Young form of 2006-07 just in time for a big payday.

9. Jose Valverde, RHP, Houston Astros: Pop quiz: who has led the National League in saves the past two seasons? That’s right – it’s underappreciated Jose Valverde, who was more hittable in Houston last season, but offset that with his improved control. Count me among the non-believers who has now been sold. If Valverde can again top 40 saves, with an ERA in the low 3.00 range, he’ll bust the bank, K-Rod style.

10. Carlos Delgado, 1B, New York Mets: Did Delgado pick the wrong season to enjoy a huge comeback or can he duplicate his superb 2008? One thing is for sure: hitting in an excellent Met lineup, he should remain an extremely productive bat. However, asking Delgado to maintain that .606 slugging percentage that he put up in the second half may be a bit overly optimistic.

The 2009 RotoRob MLB Draft Kit rages on ceaselessly, with yet another of the Top 10 Lists Fantasy Owners Always Wanted But Were Afraid to Ask For.

Fantasy baseball is all about projections. Almost every fantasy baseball web has a projection page and every year some stat nerd develops a new formula for player projections that make Einstein’s calculations on energy look like kindergarten mathematics. What they can’t predict, however, is injuries. You never know who is going to go down for an extended period of time, but you better have a list of guys who have the potential to break out if they get a chance. Here are some of mine.

1. Clay Buchholz, SP, Boston Red Sox: What a difference a year makes. Last year at this time, Buchholz was being hailed as the next great Sox pitcher. This season, thanks to a couple of signings, he’s not guaranteed a spot in the rotation. Buchholz has dominant stuff, but seemed to cave under the pressure last year. This offseason, the Red Sox went out and signed Brad Penny and John Smoltz to bolster their rotation. Therefore, Buchholz will probably only get a shot if several pitchers go down – which, if you think about it, is a strong possibility. Don’t be afraid to grab this guy and tuck him away for safe keeping.

2. Marlon Byrd, OF, Texas Rangers: Was David Murphy the real deal? Is Nelson Cruz, after his strong showing down the stretch, the man to finally get starter at bats? Throw in Josh Hamilton – never the picture of stability even though he’s become a star – and Hank Blalock, who pretty well has his own barstool at the DL, and you’ve got to figure Byrd has a chance to get starter-type at bats.

3. Brandon Wood, 3B/SS, Los Angeles Angels: Wood didn’t exactly make the most of his injury opportunity last year. If he does get another chance, he can ill afford a slow start because the Angels won’t have the luxury of being patient with him as they’re expected to be in the thick of the AL West race all year. Wood needs at bats at the major league level to see if he can hack it. He’s blocked at third base by Chone Figgins, who is the spark plug at the top of the lineup, and either Erick Aybar or Maicer Izturis (probably Aybar) at shortstop, both of whom are better fielders.

4. Jeff Clement, C, Seattle Mariners: Clement is blocked at catcher by Kenji Johjima’s contract (thank you, Bill Bavasi, ya hack) and Ken Griffey, Jr.’s aging body at DH. Clement has nothing left to prove in Triple-A, tearing up that level last year before getting called up to the big league club (as much as the Mariners are big league, I guess). Now he simply needs to get a shot to play everyday.

5. Jonny Gomes, OF, Cincinnati Reds: Gomes has big time power, he’s just never had a chance to prove what he could do as an everyday player. He’s been impressive this spring, but just making the club may not guarantee him tons of at bats. An injury in the outfield could clear the way for Gomes to get consistent playing time. If so, it’s sink or swim – show he can be a solid everyday player or fax that resume to the Fargo-Moorhead RedHawks.

6. Homer Bailey, SP, Cincinnati Reds: This former can’t miss prospect has missed big time so far. Now nobody asked me (come on Walt, return my calls), but I don’t think the Reds have too much to lose by letting Bailey chuck it every fifth day. As it is, he looks to be the sixth man in a five-man rotation. Cincy needs to find out what it has in Bailey, and it’s not going to do that by sending him to Triple-A or pitching him out of the pen.

7. Juan Pierre, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers: When Manny Ramirez finally signed with the Dodgers, Pierre went to the bench and took all his steals with him. You can’t steal second from the bench. He has limited appeal anyway due to his lack of being able to do anything but steal bases, so having him on the bench makes him little but a cheap source of steals – unless, of course, an injury opens up PT.

8. Ian Stewart, 3B, Colorado Rockies: Stewart has long been one of the top prospects in the Colorado system, but his development has been slower than expected. He officially arrived last year, putting up nice numbers in limited at bats. Unfortunately, there doesn’t seem to be a place for Stewart to play regularly. Probably any infield injury would get him into the lineup.

9. Jordan Schafer, OF, Atlanta Braves: Conventional wisdom has Schafer starting this season in the minors, but the kid has been tearing it up in Spring Training, leaving some to wonder if the future is now. Schafer is probably best known for his 50-game suspension for HGH last year which somewhat dimmed his status as a prospect. Don’t let that cloud your judgment. The guy did his time and came backing hitting. Schafer is a legitimate star prospect that can help your team if he gets a chance in Atlanta.

10. Josh Willingham, OF, Washington Nationals: Willingham isn’t flashy and he doesn’t put up eye-catching numbers. He just goes out there and puts up solid stats. Unfortunately, the off-season trade from the Marlins to the outfield heavy Nats killed his value. The only way this guy is going to see the field is if someone goes down and that’s a shame because he’s probably the most consistent outfielder on the team. The again, with Lastings Milledge and Elijah Dukes among those blocking Willingham, how long do you think it will be until some kind of legal issue takes one of those dudes out of the lineup and opens up PT?

The 2009 RotoRob MLB Draft Kit continues today with another of the now legendary Top 10 Lists Fantasy Owners Always Wanted But Were Afraid to Ask For. We’re almost done the next cheat sheet, our shortstop rankings, and continue to work on the Ultimate Master Keeper List. Other goodies coming soon include our Fifth Annual Top 40 Prospects list, a column about the key questions facing each team heading into 2009, plus a couple more Top 10 lists. Stay tuned!

1. Delmon Young, Minnesota Twins: Young has been a colossal disappointment since being taken first overall in the 2003 draft. Wasn’t he supposed to be a 40-homer major leaguer by 2005? Yes, the expectations were ridiculous, but he has yet to even reach 15 dingers in a season. And although Young made some progress last season – his first as a Twinkie – this can’t miss superstar we kept hearing about has yet to emerge. In fact, with the bounty of depth the Twins enjoy at OF/DH (with Jason Kubel, Michael Cuddyer, Carlos Gomez and Denard Span in the mix), Young finds himself as the odd man out to begin the season. But consider that he is still only 23 and is hitting with serious pop this spring and you have to know that Young will get his day in the sun before 2009 is up. Hello? Sleeper alert.

2. Rocco Baldelli, Boston Red Sox: It’s a bit of a risk putting Baldelli, who has all of 581 major league at bats in the past four years, this high on the list, but when you’re the insurance policy for WebMD Poster Boy J.D. Drew, there is always the potential for success. Then add to that the potency of the BoSox lineup and big things might be in store for Baldelli, who could flourish in Beantown as a veritable hometown boy (well, he’s from Rhode Island).

3. Reed Johnson, Chicago Cubs: With the money the Cubs have invested in Kosuke Fukudome, the former NPB star will be given plenty of rope in the battle to be the team’s centrefielder. So for now, Fukudome and Johnson will platoon, with the right-handed hitting Johnson being on the weak side of this equation. However, all Johnson has done in his career is perform beyond expectations. In barely over a half-season worth of at bats last year, he drove in 50 runs while hitting north of .300. If Fukudome is not up for the challenge, we may see a shift in PT at Wrigley.

4. Willie Harris, Washington Nationals: There’s no denying the Nats have a logjam in the outfield – at least until Elijah Dukes kills someone – but Harris can play all over the diamond (he started at five positions last season) and is a safe bet for 300-plus at bats. He boasts decent speed and pop, and that multi-positional eligibility is a Godsend in deep leagues where depth is at a premium.

5. Mark Teahen, KC – Teahen appears to be the odd man out in Kansas City following the off-season addition of Coco Crisp, but David DeJesus has trouble keeping himself in the lineup (as does Coco) and isn’t it about time for Jose Guillen to alienate his teammates and be traded by the deadline? I’m pretty sure it is. Note that KC is giving Teahen a look at second base this spring, but even if he sees time at the keystone corner this season, you’ve got to figure he’ll also be spelling the Royal flyhawks.

6. Juan Pierre, Los Angeles Dodgers: With the Dodgers boasting an outfield of Manny Ramirez, Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier, Pierre will be coming off the bench. He will log enough playing time to be a good source of 30-plus steals, but can’t be counted on to do much else. Still, if you need help in steals (and whoever doesn’t?), Pierre can still be an impact player in this category.

7. Ryan Freel, Baltimore Orioles: Freel falls into almost the exact same category as Pierre, but brings an injury risk to the table as well. However, he may have a higher upside than Pierre given that Felix Pie and Adam Jones – despite their immense potential – are still not established major leaguers, so a sluggish start by either of them could result in Freel seeing more action.

8. Chris Duncan, St. Louis Cardinals: The Cards are going with immensely talented prospect Colby Rasmus here, but Duncan has proven he’s still a capable major leaguer by smacking the ball around this spring like a man on a mission. He’s healthy after last season’s back woes, and let’s not forget that he smacked 22 homers in 280 at bats just two years ago, and is just now entering his power prime. If Rick Ankiel suffers another injury (likely) or if Ryan Ludwick fails to come close to his 2008 breakout (likely) or if Rasmus suffers from growing pains (likely), Duncan could get a chance to do some serious damage.

9. Marcus Thames, Detroit Tigers: You know he’s got the pop, and you figure between spelling the outfielders and spending some time at DH, Thames should be good for his typical 20 dingers. Besides, in case you hadn’t noticed, starting DH Gary Sheffield isn’t exactly the picture of good health at the age of 40.

10. Eric Byrnes, Arizona Diamondbacks: A lot of things have happened since Byrnes missed two-thirds of 2008 because of hamstring woes. Most notably to his situation, Conor Jackson shifted to the outfield and became a .300 hitter and Justin Upton arrived in The Show. Now Byrnes finds himself as the extra outfielder, just a season removed from 2007’s breakout campaign (does 20+ homers, 50 steals and 100+ runs sound familiar?). So unless Jackson is shifted to first base (currently occupied by Chad Tracy), Brynes doesn’t have a starting gig, with Chris Young occupying centrefield. But bear in mind that Byrnes is one of the highest paid Diamondbacks, so it would behoove the team to at least give him enough action to showcase him for a possible deal.

The 2009 RotoRob MLB Kit continues today with another of the Top 10 Lists Fantasy Owners Always Wanted But Were Afraid to Ask For. Look for our Shortstop Cheat Sheet soon, plus we’re continuing to work on our Master Keeper List, and our Fifth Annual Top 40 Prospects List, plus plenty of other goodies.

Every year there are a slew of players that simply fly under the radar heading into the regular season. Looking back to last spring, those owners that were fortunate to have latched onto Cliff Lee, Edinson Volquez, Carlos Quentin, Ervin Santana, Alexei Ramirez, or Ricky Nolasco might have had very serious reasons to smile when the year end hardware was distributed. The 2009 season will be no exception to that rule. When reviewing my candidates for sleepers this year, I purposely left out possible closers. Team RotoRob’s newest member, Todd Habiger, nailed the many opportunities for fantasy owners in his recent article analyzing those potential closers in waiting. Great job, Todd! So without further ado, let’s take a look at some of those potential hidden gems for the upcoming season.

1. Ryan Spilborghs, Colorado Rockies, OF: Is Spilborghs the lead-off bat the Rockies are searching for in 2009? He is currently in a battle with Clint Barmes for the right to hit at the top of the Rox order, and with three homers, 13 RBI and a .390 BA this spring, is making a strong case. Last year in only 233 at bats, Spilborghs managed six homers, 36 RBI, and seven thefts with a solid .313 BA. Whether he’s batting first or eighth in the Rockie lineup, he should provide a decent BA with 15/15 potential, making him a solid option as your fifth outfielder in 2009.

2. Felipe Lopez, Arizona Diamondbacks, 2B: The 28-year-old Lopez is looking to sustain that great stretch run he had in 2008 with the Cards. Signed as a free agent this past offseason by the Diamondbacks, Lopez has the potential to be a good source of both runs and cheap speed with him batting at the top of the D-Back lineup. In leagues that use the 10-game qualifier for position eligibility, he will qualify at 2B, SS, 3B, and OF — a nice little bonus from a player that is currently being drafted as an end play in most formats.

3. Skip Schumaker, St. Louis Cardinals, 2B: Okay he’s no Adam Kennedy, but is that really such a bad thing? In 2008, Schumaker amassed eight HR, 46 RBI and eight thefts with a .302 BA in 540 AB. Even more impressive was the 87 runs scored. Anyone hitting in front of Albert Pujols should be a strong asset in the runs scored department. If Tony LaRussa exercises a bit of patience, Schumaker could provide a very solid option in 2009 as he transitions into the role of a full-time second baseman.

4. Anthony Reyes, Cleveland Indians, SP: Reyes has been a perennial sleeper candidate seemingly forever, and dammit, one of these days we’ll be right! Now that he’s finished butting heads with Dave Duncan, will the Indians reap the rewards? The potential is certainly there as demonstrated by Reyes’ success in the minors and down the stretch in 2008. In six starts after being acquired by Cleveland, he posted an outstanding 1.83 ERA. If the elbow holds up, 2009 has breakout potential written all over it.

5. Mike Fontenot, Chicago Cubs, 2B: The Cubbies searched high and low this offseason and settled in with the 4.9 million dollar man, Aaron Miles, as the answer to fill the void left by the trade of Mark DeRosa. Why, I ask, did they bother to shell out that kind of coin when they already had a capable replacement in Fontenot? It must have been that power potential that Miles has demonstrated with those 10 homers over the past 1,543 at bats. The 28-year-old Fontenot hit nine homers, drove in 40 runs and managed a very impressive 909 OPS in 243 at bats in 2008. It seems that Fontenot has won the favour of Lou Piniella at this time and is tentatively slotted into the sixth spot in a strong Cub lineup. That translates into solid RBI opportunities for Fontenot, making him a definite asset in the middle infield.

6. Anibal Sanchez, Florida Marlins, SP: This coming season will be the first full year back on the hill for the 25-year-old right hander, after Tommy John surgery cost him the better part of the past two seasons. Sanchez did pitch down the stretch in 2008 and finished off the year on a positive note. With another offseason to rebuild that arm strength, memories of that fine rookie campaign should not be forgotten.

7. David Purcey, Toronto Blue Jays, SP: Toronto’s starting pitching has been decimated by the loss of both Dustin McGowan and Shaun Marcum (not to mention the departure of A.J. Burnett), and is going to be heavily relying on the young left arm of Purcey in 2009. The 26-year-old is certainly worthy of a look-see in both AL-only and deeper mixed formats. His 2.69 ERA and 1.12 WHIP at Triple-A Syracuse didn’t translate well in the majors for the Jays in 2008, but in between several rough patches, Purcey did put together several outstanding efforts. He’s going to get the opportunity to pitch every fifth day for the Jays and any semblance of consistency could mean a great bonus for your fantasy squad’s rotation.

8. Jordan Zimmerman, Washington Nationals, SP: The 22-year-old Zimmerman, a 2007 second-round draft pick, is on the verge of heading into the regular season as a member of Washington’s rotation. In his first full season for the Double-A Harrisburg Senators, he posted a very solid 3.21 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. The top pitching prospect in the National system should be owned in all keeper leagues and on the radar in all formats heading into 2009.

9. Chris Getz, Chicago White Sox, 2B: Okay, he’s won the job, so the playing time (at least early on) should no longer be an issue. What do we now have to look forward to in 2009 from Getz? A quick look at his numbers from the minors indicates a smattering of homers, decent speed, and good strike zone judgement that would suggest potential for a solid batting average. The jury is still out on how this will translate in his first opportunity in The Show, but Getz is certainly worthy of some late-round bets. Hey, that rhymes. How cool are we?

10. Alex Gonzalez, Cincinnati Reds, SS: Don’t forget about A-Gonz when planning to fill a rather short position this coming season. The 32-year-old missed the entire 2008 campaign with a fractured left knee. If Gonzalez can bounce back to his 2007 levels (16 homers and 55 RBI), it would certainly rank the Red middle infielder as one to watch in the early part of 2009. He is undoubtedly available and has proven his ability with the stick. Now, can he stay healthy in 2009?

We’re back with more of the 2009 RotoRob MLB Draft Kit, today shifting gears back to the Top 10 Lists Fantasy Owners Always Wanted But Were Afraid to Ask For.

There’s not a more volatile position in fantasy baseball than closer. Once you get past the Joe Nathans and Mariano Riveras of the world, the turnover rate is extraordinary. Closer is the land where mediocre players can become shutdown closers if even for a short while. Because of the high turnover rate of closers, the position bears extra attention. Here are a few guys that may get a chance to save games if circumstances fall the right way.

1. Chris Ray, Baltimore Orioles: Conventional wisdom says George Sherrill is only keeping the closer spot warm until the O’s think Ray is recovered enough from Tommy John surgery to handle ninth inning work on a regular basis. The O’s have already said that Sherrill won’t get every save opportunity which bodes well for Ray probably hitting double digit saves even if he never fully gets his old job back this year.

2. Dan Wheeler, Tampa Bay Rays: The Ray bullpen is a mess from a fantasy perspective. Troy Percival can’t be counted on to stay healthy, Grant Balfour had great numbers last year, but it’s unclear if he can be counted on to close, and then there is the Jason Isringhausen factor. All of which leads us to Wheeler. He’s been solid for most of his career and will probably get the first shot if (when) Percy goes down. He’s another guy that should luck into double digit saves.

3. Jensen Lewis, Cleveland Indians: Raise your hand if you think Kerry Wood avoids the DL all year. All of you with your hands up please smack yourself really hard upside the head for me. Wood had a fine year in his first season as a closer, but you know he’s going to spend some time on the DL. Enter Lewis, who was 13-for-13 in save opportunities in the second half of 2008. If you’re looking for someone to fill out your RP slot, Lewis is a good bet to get a handful of saves.

4. Fernando Rodney, Detroit Tigers: Rodney is in a fight with Brandon Lyon for the closer job in Detroit. Jim Leyland seems to like mediocre arms as his closer which means Lyon should get the gig. If he does, snatch up Rodney and hold on to him until Lyon implodes. While Rodney will never be a shutdown closer, he can get the job done. I’m betting he ends the year as the Tiger closer.

5. Octavio Dotel, Chicago White Sox: This one is only a hunch, but Bobby Jenks’s declining strikeout rate has me worried. I would not be surprised at all to see the wheels fall off, forcing Ozzie Guillen to resort to plan B, which would be Dotel. Now, Dotel has never been that effective of a closer despite putting up some pretty good save numbers over the years, but he may have the best arm in the Chicago pen. He’s definitely worth a shot in the dark.

6. Jose Arredondo, Los Angeles Angels: I know the Angels went out and spent money on Brian Fuentes after losing K-Rod to the Mets. I actually think the Halos would have been better off letting Arrendondo shoulder the closing load, but Tony Reagins never called to get my opinion (Tony, e-mail me at: Todd@RotoRob.com, I’ve got lots of great ideas; let’s do lunch). Anyway, let’s remember that Fuentes is just a season removed from losing his closer job in Colorado, while Arrendondo was fantastic last year. If Fuentes can’t handle the pressure, the Angels won’t hesitate to go to Arrendondo.

7. Brad Ziegler, Oakland A’s: While the entire western world is ready to anoint Joey Devine as the A’s closer of the present and future, let’s remember that it was Ziegler that ended the year as their closer. In a comparison of arms, Devine is the Dodge Viper to Ziegler’s Ford Pinto. Ziegler gets by with deception while Devine gets by with pure power. Devine has never closed games in the majors while Ziegler has had success in that role.

8. Ryan Franklin, St. Louis Cardinals: In my Top 10 Rookies column, I pretty much said I expect that Chris Perez will take over the closer role and hold on to it for the next decade. Well this here is called covering my ass. Whereas Perez is the hot shot rookie, Franklin is the crafty veteran, and we all know Tony LaRussa loves his vets. If LaRussa does go with a true bullpen by committee, Franklin will get his share of saves.

9. Kevin Gregg, Chicago Cubs: We all know that Lou Pinella is such a patient man so he’ll probably stick with Carlos Marmol through thick and thin even if he struggles. But if Sweet Lou somehow becomes this impatient bastard of a manager and Marmol struggles, why don’t you take a chance on Gregg? He saved 29 games last year and had solid numbers across the board.

10. Jon Rauch, Arizona Diamondbacks: This list was made for Rauch. He’s the guy that seems destined for middle relief, but always seems to sneak in double digit saves due to luck and injury. I know he was absolutely horrible after his trade to Arizona last year, but for God’s sake, Chad Qualls is the closer here. Do you feel good about having Qualls as your closer? I didn’t think so. Go grab Rauch.

We continue with the 2009 RotoRob MLB Draft Kit with yet another of the Top 10 Lists Owners Always Wanted But Were Afraid to Ask For.

Utility players are kind of like that girl down the street you asked to prom the year your girlfriend dumped you a few weeks before the big day. She wasn’t very pretty and you didn’t want to keep her around after the prom, but she was good enough to get you to the dance so you didn’t look like too big of a loser. Well, these guys can help keep you from being a big loser too. If one of your studs goes down for a couple weeks look to these guys to stop the hurt.

1. Jed Lowrie, SS/3B, Boston: It looks like Lowrie could be come a super sub to start the year for the Sox. For some reason Boston is giving Julio Lugo back his old shortstop job despite the fact he hasn’t done anything for a couple years. With Mike Lowell possibly missing some time to start the year, Lowrie could see some time at third early on and might spell Dustin Pedroia at second at times. Lowrie has a good bat and still developing power. He’s worth a late round pick if you’re unsettled at SS.

2. Wilson Betemit, 1B/3B, Chicago White Sox: Betemit is eligible at 1B, 3B and (in some leagues) SS and we all know versatility can mean value even in fantasy baseball. He never reached the stardom that was predicted for him as a young SS in the Atlanta system, but there have been flashes of potential here and there. If Josh Fields fails to impress, Betemit could see a lot of time at third base. He’s never been given a true shot to produce, so it’s still debatable what he can offer.

3. Brandon Wood, 3B/SS, Los Angeles Angels: Don’t look now, but Wood is tearing it up in Spring Training and may force the team’s hand. As of this writing, Wood has only struck out once – I repeat, once. Absolutely amazing for guy who never saw a ball he didn’t want to swing at. Power is Wood’s game and he’s got a ton of it. The trouble is, up until this point he’s looked like Rob Deer at the plate (you younger players go Google him and you’ll see what I mean). While there’s no clear spot for Wood to play, he might give the Angels no choice but to find a place for him. He’s got shortstop eligibility so if he gets consistent playing time to start the year, grab him and hang on for the ride.

4. Nomar Garciaparra, SS, Oakland A’s: Nomar hasn’t really been worth much in years, but he added SS back to his eligibility in 2008, which immediately makes him more attractive. Ever notice how SS eligibility is like looking at women after about 12 beers? They just look hotter after all those beers. Well, this is what Nomar has become — a player who looks fine through “shortstop goggles.” Although he only qualifies at short for now, he’ll probably take over at third when Eric Chavez invariably gets injured and can play 1B in a pinch as well.

5. Eric Hinske, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates: Quietly, Hinske had a nice year for the AL Champion Rays, smacking 20 homers in limited time. Now with Pittsburgh, Hinske will again battle for playing time, but could see action at 1B, outfield and third if Andy LaRoche continues to show nothing. Hinske will never be a fantasy stud, but there’s no reason to think that he can’t repeat last year’s numbers.

6. Ian Stewart, 3B, Colorado Rockies: Stewart made the most of his opportunity last season, smacking 10 homers in 266 at bats. With Todd Helton and his contract wasting space at first base, Stewart will have to fight for playing time at third (where Garrett Atkins resides – Atkins would move to first without Helton blocking the way), and second base (where his defense is shaky). Stewart might even get a look in the outfield. He is very intriguing and has as much upside as anyone on this list.

7. Mark Teahen, OF, Kansas City Royals: They’ve tried him everywhere else so this year the Royals have decided to give him a shot at second base. So far this spring, the results haven’t been pretty. Still, if the Royals do decide to give Teahen an occasional start at second he could have some value. He’s shown only modest power so far in his career (lifetime .421 slugging) and doesn’t look like he’ll ever touch .300. But with outfield and (is some leagues) first and third base eligibility, Teahen might do well as a fill in.

8. Erick Aybar, SS, Los Angeles Angels: I’ve watched Aybar for years now hoping that he would get the opportunity to show the Angels what he can do. Well, last year he got his shot and the results were truly uninspiring. Aybar can handle the bat well, but just doesn’t have power. He can probably bat around .280 and hit double digits in steals, but he’s never going to drive in more than a handful of runners. With Howie Kendrick’s first injury of the year right around the corner, Maicer Izturis can move over to second base, allowing Aybar to man short. There’s a chance Aybar will qualify at second base as well.

9. Ty Wigginton, 3B/OF, Baltimore Orioles: If only Wigginton still had second base eligibility, we might have a winner here. Unfortunately, he’s only got third and outfield so the upside is limited. Still, this is a guy who has hit 20 homers with at least a .277 BA for three straight years. He’s worth a look especially if he can get regular playing time.

10. Ryan Freel, OF, Baltimore Orioles: Freel used to make his living playing all over the diamond as a super sub. Last season, a hamstring injury ruined his campaign. Now in Baltimore, it remains to be seen as to what the O’s do with him. He’s expected to see time all over the outfield and at second base. He has also seen some time in spring training at short and third so maybe the Os envision him in that super sub role – or maybe they just need someone to fill in while Cesar Izturis is at the WBC. While he only qualifies at OF right now, if Freel meets the minimum requirements in the infield he could be a cheap source of steals.

The 2009 RotoRob MLB Draft Kit continues as we release more of the Top 10 Lists Fantasy Owners Always Wanted But Were Afraid to Ask For. Today, Alex has his choices for 2009 flops.

They were huge in 2008, but these are the players who won’t come close to repeating their performances  of last season.

1. Edison Volquez, SP, Cincinnati Reds – There is no way in hell that Volquez repeats his 2008 season in which he won 17 games, had a 3.21 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. He pitched nearly 200 innings and went over 110 pitches over a dozen times. Dusty Baker wore him out last year and now he will likely suffer the fate of so many before him. I think an ERA around 4.00 with 12 to 15 wins is more likely this go around. Then again, an injury to his overworked arm is possible and if that happens, Volquez could put up something much, much lower.

2. Joe Saunders, SP, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim in California near the Pacific – Bazooka Joe posted 17 wins and a 3.41 ERA in 2008 despite getting hit all year. He does not get many strikeouts and hitters are always putting the ball in play. I will be surprised if his ERA is lower than 4.50, as the baseball gods create balance in the universe. I would avoid him this year because you will be overpaying for an average pitcher. Sorry Joe, it’s a No-Go!

3. Chipper Jones, 3B, Atlanta Braves – I know a lot of Braves fans will get all fussy for me putty Larry Jones on this list, but is there any way he can replicate last year? No, he can’t. Jones ended up posting a batting average of .364 after he was chasing .400 for a couple of months. Sure, he probably will bat over .300 and still hit 20 home runs, but he will not be nearly the effective fantasy contributor as he was last year. Besides, have you noticed how chunky he’s looking at the WBC?

4. Cliff Lee, SP, Cleveland Indians – This southpaw had an amazing season last year, and while he could be good again in 2009, I do not see him approaching those kind of numbers. In 2008, he posted 22 wins to go with his 2.54 ERA. That is absurd for an Indian pitcher last year! I think a 3.50 ERA to go with 14 to 18 wins is more likely this year, so do not overpay for him. I only see a small chance at him coming close to last year and becoming a consistent fantasy pitcher. I do think he is much better than Volquez and Saunders, but all three of them will fall back to the pack.

5. Ryan Dempster, SP, Chicago Cubs – I think we are seeing a theme with pitchers, but it is true, we see this every season. There are a handful of pitchers that fall flat on their face or jump back to reality after a superb season. Dempster, after leaving the bullpen for a starting gig, posted 17 wins and a 2.96 ERA to go with a decent 1.21 WHIP. Here we have another candidate to drop in every category, but I think his drop will be less severe than the previously mentioned pitchers. The Cub offense can score runs and I still think a line resembling 15 wins, a 3.50 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP is reasonable for Dempster.

6. Ryan Ludwick, OF, St. Louis Cardinals – At 29 years old, Ludwick finally had a breakout year, slugging 37 home runs and driving in 113 runs to go with a stellar .299 batting average. If you take Ludwick this year, remember you will be overpaying for a commodity that has not proven himself on a consistent basis. One good year does not ensure results for the next season. I would expect Ludwick’s home run total to drop back to the high 20s and he may not even reach 100 RBI. I would avoid him this year, as his stock is too high.

7. Armando Galarraga, SP, Detroit Tigers – Armando had a great rookie season last year, racking up 12 wins with a 3.73 ERA and a nice 1.13 WHIP. For me, he does not really pass the eye test. Galarraga just does not look as good as his numbers last year. He gives up a lot of long fly balls and his strike out rate is below average. I think Galarraga’s ERA balloons into the high 4.00-range this year and he falls into fantasy irrelevancy.

8. Brad Hawpe, OF, Colorado Rockies – Hawpe has been a favourite of mine the last few years as I have used him multiple times to fill in for injuries and such. With that said, I think the loss of Matt Holliday tremendously diminishes the potential of everyone else left in Colorado to produce. I think the protection Holliday provided to Hawpe gave Hawpe the chance to hit with runners on and in favourable situations. With Holliday hitting dingers in Oakland, Hawpe will feel naked in the Colorado cold. He will have plenty of opportunities to “vent” to his teammates.

9. Jayson Werth, OF, Philadelphia Phillies – Last season, Werth had 24 home runs, 67 RBI and 20 steals, making him a well rounded fantasy presence. This year, even with the chance to start full-time, I think he will take a step back. He constantly has nagging injuries which I think will contribute to him sliding back to the pack. Werth could be a low risk, high reward type of guy, but I think I would avoid him this year. I would expect at least five fewer home runs and steals from the Phillie outfielder this season.

10. Brandon Phillips, 2B, Cincinnati Reds: A pretty sweet BA with 30-30 potential, right? Uh, not so fast. Did you notice that Phillips struggled to a .225 second half with just six homers and four steals? I’d tread cautiously here.

Welcome back to the 2009 RotoRob MLB Draft Kit. Over the next few weeks, we will be rolling out cheat sheets with analysis, essays and the classic Top 10 Lists that Fantasy Owners Always Wanted But Were Afraid to Ask For, a compendium of 10 Top 10 lists that no fantasy owner should be without. We’ll continue that today with Alex’s offering of the Top 10 source of Cheap Steals.

This is all these players do – steal bases. They can’t hit for an extremely high average, have no power, but they will steal bases. Who are they?

We know the Chone Figgins, Willy Taveras and Denard Span types will rack up the steals, but none of them will come cheap. So, we’re going to focus on players who will likely be late-round bargains who can help you win this category.

1. Michael Bourn, OF, Houston Astros – Projected 40-50 steals. If Bourn is to keep his starting gig in Astro-Land, he needs to improve upon his .230 batting average last year. When he does reach first base, he instantly becomes a weapon on the base path. Look for him to improve slightly and get more chances to steal. Last year he stole 42 bases, but expect him to approach 50 this year. If he struggles at the plate for an extended timeframe to open the season, I would not be surprised to see Houston look for other options. Personally, I would rather have Jason Bourne, but that is neither here nor there…

2. Carlos Gomez, OF, Minnesota Twins – Projected 30-35 steals. Gomez finds himself in the same category as Bourn. Improve or lose you job. Gomez is quite the base stealer and could some day easily steal 60, but he has trouble getting on base to do so. Last season, his on base percentage was .289, which is awful. I am sure coaches are working tirelessly on this project to find ways to get him on base. Last year he was sort of a pop out machine, so he did not even get to utilize his speed to leg out base hits. I still think Gomez is a lock for 30 steals, as he has too much talent and there is too much potential to see this guy on the Twinkies bench.

3. Jerry Owens, OF, Chicago White Sox – Projected 20-30 steals. Owens received some playing time last year with the injury of Carlos Quentin. Now, he finds himself battling for the centrefield job with DeWayne Wise. If Owens wins it he could approach 30 steals this year, but he does not do much more than steal. He won’t go yard, and he won’t drive in runs, so be careful with this one trick fantasy pony.

4. Elvis Andrus, SS, Texas Rangers – Projected 25-35 steals. After Texas moved Michael Young to third base, the starting job at short belongs to the organization’s prized prospect. Andrus had over 50 steals last year at Triple-A, even after missing nearly a month with a broken hand. Elvis has some pop in his bat, but during his rookie campaign, he can only be relied upon for steals and runs. Eventually he could become a 15-20 home run guy, but we will have to see how he adjusts.

5. Coco Crisp, OF, Kansas City Royals – 20-30 steals. Crisp will get a chance to play every day in Kansas City and he is sure to improve on his part-time numbers from last year. He is a veteran who knows how to get on base and move himself to second base. He may be a sleeper this year as he gets more at bats and more chances to shine. Crisp has never been a huge steal guy, but has consistently been in the 20s.

6. Nyger Morgan, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates – Projected 20-35 steals. The Pirates are banking on Morgan to be their opening day lead-off hitter and premier base stealer. He has been inconsistent with the big league chances he has received, but there is no denying his raw speed that could be harnessed to produce big thievery numbers.

7. Juan Pierre, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers – Projected 15-25 steals. The signing of Manny Ramirez crushes the fantasy potential of Pierre this year, unless he gets traded. Without Manny, Pierre projects to steal over 40, but with him only around 20. Pierre is the last man out in a crowded Dodger outfield and there is no way anyone in their right mind would sit Andre Ethier, Matt Kemp, or Man-Ram in favour of Pierre in their everyday lineup. Pierre could still be an effective source of steals if you could start him only when you know he will play. Just add another person to the growing list of Manny Ramirez haters.

8. Felipe Lopez, SS, Arizona Diamondbacks – Projected 20 steals. Last season was a bit of a write-off for Lopez, as he failed to even reach double digits in steals. But consider two numbers: (a) 44, as in the number of bases he stole just two seasons ago; and (b) .360, as in his batting average after the break last season. Combine these two and you’ve got a major comeback on your hands, one you can invest in cheaply.

9. Julio Lugo, SS, Boston Red Sox – Projected 20 steals. After missing a huge chunk of 2008 thanks to a quad injury, Lugo has to compete to regain his starting shortstop job. So far, he looks like he’s up to the task, and if he can wrestle the gig back from Jed Lowrie, that projected steal total will look very conservative.

10. Randy Winn, OF, San Francisco Giants – Projected 20 steals. Okay, so he’s not exactly tearing the cover off the ball this spring, but that’s all the more reason he will once again fly slightly below the radar on draft day. But when you look up at season’s end and see another quality line from Winn, you’ll wonder why you constantly ignore him on draft day.

The 2009 RotoRob MLB Draft Kit continues today as we kick off the RotoRob Top 10 Lists of Lists that Fantasy Owners always Wanted, but were Afraid to Ask For with the RotoRob debut of our newest voice, Todd Habiger, who brings us the Top 10 rookies. Please join me in giving Todd a hearty welcome to RotoRob. He’s a long-time fantasy expert and is an excellent writer, to boot!

This list includes players (with less than 130 major league at-bats or 50 innings pitched) that will create the biggest stir this season.

In fantasy leagues, owners are constantly search for the next big – that mega star that will lift their team to fantasy glory. But there is a danger in investing in too many rookies. For every Evan Longoria there’s an Alex Gordon, the player that despite the hype only puts up modest numbers in their rookie season. Unfortunately, most rookies aren’t going to pan out and give you superstar numbers, so buyer beware (or caveat emptor, for my Latin friends). Even so, rookies can be good for injury fill-ins or to plug into your starting lineup in deeper leagues.

Below are my best bets to help you this year.

1. Matt Wieters, C, Baltimore Orioles: You got to like it when a rookie catcher is compared to Mike Piazza (unless they’re talking about his defense). Wieters comes into this season with a tremendous amount of hype, and based on his average draft position, you’ve noticed. He is a superb prospect that can help your team this year – but probably not for the first month or two. With the O’s not expected to contend, the plan is to keep Wieters in the minors long enough to delay his service time. So if you draft him, be sure you get a serviceable backup for the first month. After that, sit back and enjoy the ride.

2. Colby Rasmus, OF, St. Louis Cardinals: This super prospect lost a little luster last year with injuries and mediocre numbers. But don’t fret, he’s the real deal and will arrive this season. Tony La Russa plans to bat him ninth to start the season, but if Rasmus shows he can handle the bat he’ll move up in the order quickly. I expect a solid season for Rasmus in the range of .280-20-65-10.

3. David Price, LHP, Tampa Bay Rays: If you haven’t heard of Price, stop reading right now, take your wife and kids out for a nice meal, take up building model cars and send the money you were going to waste playing fantasy baseball this year to: Todd Habiger, PO Box 1259, Overland Park, KS 66204. Of course, Price is one of the most hyped prospects of our time. His coming out party was when he closed the door on the Red Sox to send the Rays to the World Series. But his fame is going to be as a starter and from the looks of things he’s going to be a good – if not great – one. But remember, he is a rookie and his innings are going to be watched. Think 12 wins and an ERA in the mid to upper 3s.

4. Chris Perez, RHP, St. Louis Cardinals: La Russa doesn’t plan on naming a closer, but rather go with a bullpen by committee. Really, how often has a committee worked out well? Expect Perez to eventually lay claim to the job and hold on to it for say, the next five to 10 years. He has a great fastball that can reach the upper 90s when he needs something extra. But Perez can be wild and lacks a consistent secondary pitch. Still, he’s the best option in a rather mediocre St. Louis pen. I’m putting him down for 25 saves.

5. Travis Snider, OF, Toronto Blue Jays: Snider shot through the Blue Jays farm system last year, starting out at High A and ending up in the Show. This kid is the real deal and should lay claim to either an outfield or the DH slot. Power is Snider’s game and he should eventually find his way into the middle of the Jays lineup. Despite a somewhat high strikeout totally, scouts expect that Snider to settle into a .280 hitter or better.

6. Cameron Maybin, OF, Florida Marlins: This kid is an all-world athlete. A true five-tool player, Maybin should be able to translate those skills into a regular stint in the 30-30 club. As of now, he doesn’t have the greatest plate discipline, so don’t expect a stellar batting average or on base percentage right way. What you can expect is tape measure home runs, blazing thefts of second and lots of Sports Center moments. All that with a .230 BA.

7. Taylor Teagarden, C, Texas Rangers: The Ranger farm system is so deep that Teagarden didn’t even make Baseball America’s Top five Texas prospects. But my money’s on him having the biggest impact on the big league club this year. Teagarden had an impressive debut, smacking six home runs in 47 at bats to give him a leg up on the starting catcher position entering 2009. But it’s a tough road with former top prospect Jarrod Saltalamacchia and fellow prospect Max Ramirez standing in the way. Still, Teagarden offers more of a complete package with his defense ability to call a game.

8. Brett Wallace, 3B, St. Louis Cardinals: Wallace is one of my big hunches this year (for more, see below). The man can hit. He started knocking the cover off the ball in High A ball and when an injury created an opportunity at Double-A, Wallace didn’t lose a beat, batting over .300 with power. With Troy Glaus injury prone and no suitable replacement on the St. Louis bench, I think Wallace could have an opportunity to make an impact on the big league club right away.

9. Dexter Fowler, OF, Colorado Rockies: Fowler is a superb athlete who is still translating all his potential on the baseball field. Blessed with natural speed and strength, Fowler had an amazing 2008, being selected to the Futures Game and making the Olympic Team. While he hasn’t shown much power yet, scouts seem to think it’s only a matter of time. With the Colorado outfield looking pretty underwhelming right now, Fowler could find himself in a battle to make the opening day roster. If that happens, snatch him up.

10. Elvis Andrus, SS, Texas Rangers: Not even old enough to legally drink yet, Andrus nonetheless unwittingly caused a ruckus this offseason when the Rangers said they were moving All-Star shortstop Michael Young to third base to make room for the kid. Young immediately asked for a trade, but eventually backed down and agreed to the move. While he will probably only show modest power in his career, Andrus has good speed and should be able to steal 20+ bases regularly.

Habby’s Hunches

RotoRob only wanted my top 10 so I gave him my best bets. But still, with no insider knowledge, I just have a feeling about the five guys below. There’s nothing out there to say these guys are ready or have an easy path to a big league job, but there’s something about them that my gut is telling me “these guys are going to do something this year.” If they pan out, remember you heard it here first. If they don’t, hey they were only hunches, what do you expect?

Alcides Escobar, SS, Milwaukee Brewers: One J.J. Hardy stands in Escobar’s big league path, but eventually Hardy is going to be just a speed bump. Escobar is outstanding defensively and projects to hit with decent power, Throw in a touch of speed and you’ve got a future All-Star in the making.

Gordon Beckham, SS, Chicago White Sox: I must admit, I have a major man crush on Beckham. I think he’s going to be an outstanding power hitting shortshop (provided he stays there). The kid can simply rake. He hit the ground hitting, so to speak. Beckham showed good power in his minor league debut and then tore into AFL pitchers this winter. With Chris Getz no sure thing at 2B in ChiTown, I’m thinking Beckham might have a shot at seeing the Show this year.

Chris Tillman, RHP, Baltimore Orioles: Tillman is a good bet to open the year in Triple-A, but where he ends it is up for debate. He has nasty stuff – the kind No. 1 starters are made of. I’m guessing the first injury to the O’s rotation will unleash Tillman on big league batters and then, look out.

Kila Ka’aihue, 1B: Kansas City Royals: There’s nothing to suggest that Ka’aihue has any shot in hell of making the Royals this year. The club traded for Mike Jacobs and, if needed, Billy Butler can slap on a glove and play first base. But Ka’aihue has good plate discipline (something Jacobs can only dream about) and something the Royals sorely need. I personally think he’d look great in the middle of the Royal lineup.

Tommy Hanson, RHP, Atlanta Braves: The Braves have revamped their starting rotation by adding Derek Lowe and Javier Vazquez to the mix and seemingly leaving Hanson to fend for himself in Triple-A. Last year, Hanson had a season to remember, putting himself near the top of everyone’s top pitching prospects list. He dominated High A ball and didn’t miss a beat upon promotion to Double-A, a stint which included a no-hitter. The hitter-friendly AFL didn’t slow Hanson down either, as he won the pitching Triple Crown.