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		<title>The Hidden Truth: Steals</title>
		<link>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/03/02/the-hidden-truth-steals/</link>
		<comments>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/03/02/the-hidden-truth-steals/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Mar 2009 20:00:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Hardin</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rotorob.com/?p=3435</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Mario Chalmers is one of the few thiefs who isn&#8217;t a must own.
Welcome to another edition of The Hidden Truth. Today, we will take a look at steals. Here we have another fantasy category that is often overlooked, but is just as important as anything else. When you prepped for your draft, did you even [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="rightimage"><a href="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/mario_chalmers.jpg"><img src="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/mario_chalmers.jpg" alt="mario_chalmers" title="mario_chalmers" class="alignright"/></a><br />
Mario Chalmers is one of the few thiefs who isn&#8217;t a must own.</div>
<p>Welcome to another edition of <em>The Hidden Truth</em>. Today, we will take a look at steals. Here we have another fantasy category that is often overlooked, but is just as important as anything else. When you prepped for your draft, did you even look at steals? Would that even sway your decision for picking up a free agent? Do keep in mind that steals are usually a guard-oriented category; you do not get much help from your big guys. For that reason, there is no sense listing every centre in a list of dudes that don&#8217;t get steals. Instead, I will take you through three different lists.</p>
<p><strong>10 Studs that Steal </strong></p>
<p>This is the cream of the crop as far as steals go. They are all lock-em-up fantasy starters every week, with the exception of <strong>Mario Chalmers</strong>, who is a borderline fantasy starter. Consider this group the board of the <strong>Thievery Corporation</strong>.</p>
<p>1. <strong>Chris Paul</strong>, G, New Orleans Hornets: &#8211; 2.7 steals per game. Besides stealing basketballs from fellow NBAers, he is stealing Right Guard money for those awful <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NrhG0oO6s1E">commercials</a>. I don&#8217;t care about Paul&#8217;s pits.</p>
<p>2. <strong>Jason Kidd</strong>, G, Dallas Mavericks &#8211; 2.2 steals per game. J-Kidd may be a fading star in the NBA, but there are several things he still does well, and creating turnovers is one of them.</p>
<p>3. <strong>Dwyane Wade</strong>, G, Miami Heat &#8211; 2.1 steals per game. Flash fills the passing lanes and comes up with over a couple steals per game. [As an aside, <strong>RotoRob </strong>had a dream the other night that he was Dwyane Wade and was playing a game of halfcourt using a 45 RPM record instead of a basketball. Can someone explain that, please?]</p>
<p>4. <strong>Rajon Rondo</strong>, G, Boston Celtics &#8211; 2.0 steals per game. Rondo has a large wingspan coupled with <a href="http://uhaweb.hartford.edu/SGRO/RajonRondo01_45957.jpg">big hands</a> that allows him to pick the pocket of his opponent with ease. You&#8217;ve been &#8220;Rondo&#8217;ed.&#8221;</p>
<p>5. <strong>Mario Chalmers</strong>, G, Miami Heat &#8211; 1.9 steals per game. Chalmers is the lone rookie on this list. He has had a fairly solid freshman campaign beneath the wing of  D-Wade, who has taught him a thing or two about NBA thievery.</p>
<p>6. <strong>LeBron James</strong>, F, Cleveland Cavaliers &#8211; 1.8 steals per game. What stat cat <em>doesn&#8217;t</em> King James fill?</p>
<p>7. <strong>Gerald Wallace</strong>, F, Charlotte Bobcats &#8211; 1.8 steals per game. Wallace is an ultra-athletic three man who contributes on both ends of the floor.</p>
<p>8.<strong> Baron Davis</strong>, G, Los Angeles Clippers &#8211; 1.8 steals per game. B Diddy could not shoot a beach ball into the Atlantic Ocean this year, but he still plays some D and comes up with loose balls. It also should be noted that he is stealing millions of dollars from <strong>Donald Sterling</strong>.</p>
<p>9. <strong>Ron Artest</strong>, F, Houston Rockets &#8211; 1.7 steals per game. Ron-Ron is a premier defender in the NBA who has always ranked high in steals. Even on one strong ankle, he&#8217;s still a stud in this cat.</p>
<p>10. <strong>Andre Iguodala</strong>, G, Philadelphia 76ers &#8211; 1.7 steals per game. Iggy helps your fantasy squad in many ways, including pitching in in the steals department.</p>
<p><strong>10 Studs Who Should Get Steals, But Don&#8217;t </strong></p>
<p>This is a list of guys that may surprise you with their theft ineptitude. If you have one of these guys, this does not mean you should cut or trade them. Simply realize that maybe you are lacking production in steals because of these guys.</p>
<p>1. <strong>Tayshaun Prince</strong>, F, Detroit Pistons &#8211; 0.5 steals per game. Prince is a lengthy defender that I would think would average at least 1.5 steals a game, but he&#8217;s never recorded more than 0.8 SPG in any one season.</p>
<p>2. <strong>Michael Beasley</strong>, F, Miami Heat &#8211; 0.5 steals per game. Beasley was dominant last year in college, but I am not really seeing the production and energy this year. That extends to the defensive end, where he has struggled at times.</p>
<p>3. <strong>Aaron Brooks</strong>, G, Houston Rockets &#8211; 0.6 steals per game. This lighting quick point guard is getting a chance to start now that <strong>Rafer Alston</strong> has been traded. It is a surprise, however, to see his steals down so far, seeing that he plays so fast and low to the ground.</p>
<p>4. <strong>D.J. Augustin</strong>, G, Charlotte Bobcats &#8211; 0.6 steals per game. This rookie is having a decent year, but has not gotten the steals one may think. His shot is starting to come around and he will improve his defense over the next few seasons, but don&#8217;t expect big steal numbers this year.</p>
<p>5. <strong>Raja Bell</strong>, G, Charlotte Bobcats &#8211; 0.6 steals per game. This is may be the most surprising guy on the list for me. Bell is a great defender but does not get steals, unlike Artest.</p>
<p>6. <strong>Steve Nash</strong>, G, Phoenix Suns &#8211; 0.7 steals per game. The aging Canadian national has never averaged over a steal a game during his stint in Phoenix. This may be a surprise to some seeing as how Paul, a guard with similar vision, averages over 2.5.</p>
<p>7. <strong>Richard Jefferson</strong>, F, Milwaukee Bucks &#8211; 0.7 steals per game. I would have thought that Jefferson would be over a steal a game, but apparently not.</p>
<p>8. <strong>Jamal Crawford</strong>, G, Golden State Warriors &#8211; 0.8 steals per game. Crawford is the ultimate gunner. He could give you 20 points, but he only throws in the occasional rebound, assist, steal, or block.</p>
<p>9. <strong>Ben Gordon</strong>, G, Chicago Bulls &#8211; 0.8 steals per game. See Crawford, Jamal.</p>
<p>10. <strong>Al Thornton</strong>, F, Los Angeles Clippers &#8211; 0.8 steals per game. Thornton is an improving player, but does not get very many steals. He does average nearly a block a game, so he does have a defensive presence.</p>
<p><strong>10 Possible Free Agents who get Steals</strong></p>
<p>Here is a list of guys that you can use for some spot starts or to fill in a hole. If you check you league standings and see points to gain in the steals department, it could not hurt to throw in a few spot starts with these guys, if they are available in your league.</p>
<p>1. <strong>Trevor Ariza</strong>, F, Los Angeles Lakers &#8211; 1.62 steals per game. Ariza has active hands and an improving perimeter game.</p>
<p>2.<strong> Ronnie Brewer</strong>, F, Utah Jazz &#8211; 1.63 steals per game. Brewer, who also made an appearance on the top FG percentage list, fills the steals category on a regular basis.</p>
<p>3. <strong>Delonte West</strong>, G, Cleveland Cavaliers &#8211; 1.49 steals per game. Now that Redz is back from injury, he is looking to contribute in points, assists, and steals.</p>
<p>4. <strong>Luke Ridnour</strong>, G, Milwaukee Bucks &#8211; 1.35 steals per game. Ridnour is sharing time with <strong>Ramon Sessions</strong>, but is a decent stopgap that can give you points, assists, and steals on a pretty regular basis.</p>
<p>5. <strong>Derek Fisher</strong>, G, Los Angeles Lakers &#8211; 1.27 steals per game. The Laker fans love Fisher, and so will you if you give him a spot start and he knocks down a few threes and throws in a few steals.</p>
<p>6. <strong>C.J. Watson</strong>, G, Golden State Warriors &#8211; 1.27 steals per game. It is always dangerous to mix fantasy basketball and <strong>Don Nelson</strong>. Proceed with caution.</p>
<p>[edit]7. <strong>Anthony Parker</strong>, G, Toronto Raptors &#8211; 1.24 steals per game. Parker is available in most leagues, and he puts up decent numbers, especially in steals. If I were Parker, I would never have time to get any steals because I would be too busy throwing up thinking about how <a href="http://images.ea.com/sports/events/allamericans/players/SheldonWilliams.jpg"><strong><strong>Shelden Williams</strong></strong></a> knocked up my <a href="http://tashhunc.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/parkerwilliamsportrait_627.jpg">sister</a>. How gross.</p>
<p>8. <strong>Jamario Moon</strong>, F, Miami Heat &#8211; 1.13 steals per game. I think Moon could be a great fit in Miami. He could be worth a long term pick up if he continues to start.</p>
<p>9. <strong>Ronald Murray</strong>, G, Atlanta Hawks &#8211; 1.04 steals per game. Murray has been getting decent run lately. He can score and get you over a steal per game, too!</p>
<p>10. <strong>Jordan Farmar</strong>, G, Los Angeles Lakers &#8211; 1.05 steals per game. I think Farmar will start to get more and more minutes down the stretch. The Lakers will need him in the playoffs, and he provides energy, shooting, and defense on a pretty consistent basis.</p>
<p>With all this said, steals is just another category that you should consider when making any fantasy moves. Most people, I would say, tend to ignore steals, but there are roto points to be gained by those who pay attention to&#8230;.<em>The Hidden Truth</em>.</p>
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		<title>The Wire Troll: Starbury Edition</title>
		<link>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/03/02/the-wire-troll-starbury-edition/</link>
		<comments>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/03/02/the-wire-troll-starbury-edition/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Mar 2009 15:30:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Herija Green</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BASKETBALL]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rotorob.com/?p=3433</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Joel Przybilla has thrived with yet another lingering injury to Greg Oden.
Centres
Kendrick Perkins, Boston Celtics: With Kevin Garnett out of action, Perkins has a chance to elevate his production, though that hasn&#8217;t really happened yet. Still, he showed in December (11.3 PPG, 9.9 RPG) that he could be a fantasy force, which makes him at [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="rightimage"><a href="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/joel_przybilla.jpg"><img src="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/joel_przybilla.jpg" alt="joel_przybilla" title="joel_przybilla" class="alignright"/></a><br />
Joel Przybilla has thrived with yet another lingering injury to Greg Oden.</div>
<p><strong>Centres</strong></p>
<p><b>Kendrick Perkins</b>, Boston Celtics: With <strong>Kevin Garnett</strong> out of action, Perkins has a chance to elevate his production, though that hasn&#8217;t really happened yet. Still, he showed in December (11.3 PPG, 9.9 RPG) that he could be a fantasy force, which makes him at least worthy of flier status in deeper leagues.</p>
<p><em>Best of the Rest</em></p>
<p><b>Greg Oden&#8217;s</b> knee injury continues to linger, keeping <strong>Joel Przybilla</strong> in the starting lineup. His work on the boards remains exemplary, though he has logged just two double-digit scoring efforts in 2009&#8230;Owners looking for a boost in the shot blocking department needn&#8217;t look any further than Denver, where <strong>Chris Andersen</strong> has marked 25 shots &#8220;return to sender&#8221; in the last six games&#8230;We talked up <strong>Roy Hibbert</strong> in this space a couple weeks back and we&#8217;re not giving up on him yet. The rookie can&#8217;t stay out of foul trouble, averaging a disturbing 4.8 fouls in just a shade over 16 minutes a night in Indiana&#8217;s last six games. He&#8217;s a flier to be sure, but those grasping for straws can think about it&#8230;<strong>Matt Bonner </strong>was a beast from beyond the arc last month, knocking down better than two treys a night and averaging 10.8 points and 6.1 rebounds. Don&#8217;t overlook him.</p>
<p><strong>Forwards</strong></p>
<p><strong>John Salmons</strong>, Chicago Bulls: Any concerns about a decreased role in the Windy City for Salmons should have been assuaged now that he has logged better than 30 minutes in each of the Bulls&#8217; last three games. Outside of a 25-point effort his scoring hasn&#8217;t been what it was in Sacramento, but his production should increase as he becomes more comfortable in Chicago. He&#8217;s worth owning in all leagues.</p>
<p><strong>Matt Barnes</strong>, Phoenix Suns: Injuries have depleted Phoenix&#8217;s frontcourt, which has helped Barnes get back into the flow of the offense. He has also benefited from the coaching change and renewed emphasis on pushing the ball. Barnes reached double figures in four of five games before lighting up the Lakers for 26 points, 10 rebounds and seven dimes on Sunday afternoon. Don&#8217;t hesitate to pick him up in deep formats.</p>
<p><em>Best of the Rest</em></p>
<p>Everyone&#8217;s favourite document forger, <strong>Yi Jianlian</strong>, returned to the starting lineup for the Nets on February 23, though he hasn&#8217;t found the range (12-for-31) just yet. He was scoring well before his injury, which makes him at least an interesting roll of the dice in most formats&#8230;Now that <strong>Brian Scalabrine</strong> has joined KG on the sideline, <strong>Glen Davis</strong> is getting the starting nod. In three starts, Big Baby is averaging 16.7 points per game &#8211; he may not be long for the fantasy world, but he&#8217;s worth a short-term roster spot&#8230;One of the players heading west in the Salmons trade, <strong>Andres Nocioni</strong>, seems to be enjoying his relative freedom in the offense. The fifth-year forward is a volume shooter who is too loose with the ball, but he can score, drop threes and even chip in on the glass&#8230;It didn&#8217;t take long for the Thunder to find a spot in the starting lineup for <strong>Thabo Sefolosha</strong>, who posted 15 points and 11 rebounds on Saturday. Those in deeper leagues should act now before less informed owners take notice&#8230;Who is <strong>James Singleton</strong>? Anyone that can&#8217;t answer that question should take a quick peek at his game logs &#8211; we may be on to something here&#8230;<strong>Dominic McGuire </strong>continues to get a ton of burn in DC and averaged seasonal bests in both points (6.2) and rebounds (7.0) during February. That&#8217;s not great production, but it might raise some eyebrows in deep leagues.</p>
<p><strong>Guards</strong></p>
<p><strong>Ronnie Brewer</strong>, Utah Jazz: Utah&#8217;s swingman is morphing into a legitimate fantasy force, scoring 16 or more points in all but one of the team&#8217;s 11 February tilts. His range isn&#8217;t great, but he shoots an excellent overall percentage for a guard, converting 55.7 per cent of his shots this past month. There&#8217;s no reason for him to be available in any league at this juncture.</p>
<p><strong>Anthony Parker</strong>, Toronto Raptors: The 33-year-old struggled for much of February but ended the month on a high note, dropping 62 points over Toronto&#8217;s final three games. He has been very hit (13.6 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 4.6 APG in January) or miss (6.9 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 2.4 APG in December) this season so don&#8217;t mortgage your future to acquire him, but when he&#8217;s on he deserves a roster spot.</p>
<p><em>Best of the Rest</em></p>
<p><strong>Sebastian Telfair</strong> averaged 11.9 points per game in February though he continues to misfire with great regularity from the field. Be prepared to take a hit in field goal percentage for his modest contributions in points and assists&#8230;Even with <strong>Mickael Pietrus</strong> returning to action on Friday, <strong>Courtney Lee</strong> continues to start for Orlando, and why not? Lee has averaged 14.4 points a game in his past five starts and launched a dozen three-pointers (hitting four) his last time out. At the very least he&#8217;s worth watch list status in most formats&#8230;In two games with the Celtics, <strong>Stephon Marbury</strong> has scored eight points, all of them coming in his Boston debut. Keep a watchful eye on Starbury.</p>
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		<title>The Hidden Truth: Field Goal Percentage, Part III</title>
		<link>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/02/23/the-hidden-truth-field-goal-percentage-part-iii/</link>
		<comments>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/02/23/the-hidden-truth-field-goal-percentage-part-iii/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Feb 2009 18:07:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Hardin</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rotorob.com/?p=3294</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
When he&#8217;s throwing it down like this, it&#8217;s no wonder that Nene is the NBA&#8217;s leading shooter.
Welcome to Part Three of the Field Goal percentage series, where we will take a look at the big fellas and their success flushing the rock. Centres, by nature, play down low and usually shoot a much higher percentage [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="leftimage"><a href="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/nene.jpg"><img src="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/nene.jpg" alt="nene" title="nene" class="alignleft"/></a><br />
When he&#8217;s throwing it down like this, it&#8217;s no wonder that Nene is the NBA&#8217;s leading shooter.</div>
<p>Welcome to Part Three of the Field Goal percentage series, where we will take a look at the big fellas and their success flushing the rock. Centres, by nature, play down low and usually shoot a much higher percentage than other positions. The catch is that they are usually not gunners, and their field goal attempts are usually lower than the typical high scoring guard or forward. There are some big men that get lots of looks at a high success rate, and those are who we are targeting in this list. Remember, these rankings take into consideration the actual percentage coupled with the field goals attempted per game. Obviously, more field goals attempted by a player will affect this roto category more.</p>
<p><b>Top 10 Fantasy Ranking, Field Goal Percentage, Centres</b></p>
<p>1. <strong>Nene</strong>, Denver Nuggets (61%, 9.1 FGA, 14.7 PPG): The Brazilian big man has found success in the paint this year. Throw it down big fella, throw it down! Many have considered him an excellent sell high candidate for months because of his injury history, but we&#8217;re into late-February and he&#8217;s still balling.</p>
<p>2. <b>Shaquille O&#8217;Neal</b>, Phoenix Suns (59.5%, 11 FGA, 17.4 PPG): Just when everyone thought the Diesel was out of fuel, he posts All-Star numbers with an all-world swagger. Other than resting the occasional game earlier in the season, Shaq has been a reliable fantasy presence all year long. As much as he hurts your free throw percentage, he helps your field goal percentage even more.</p>
<p>3. <strong>Dwight Howard</strong>, Orlando Magic (56.9%, 12.5 FGA, 20.7 PPG): Howard is scary talented and he will only continue to get better. Seeing as how most of his baskets are dunks, he shoots a very high percentage with over a dozen looks a game.</p>
<p>4. <strong>Pau Gasol</strong>, Los Angeles Lakers (56.3%, 12.4 FGA, 18.3 PPG): The Spaniard has solidified the centre position for the Lakers with <strong>Andrew Bynum</strong> out for an extended period of time. While <strong>Lamar Odom</strong> has picked up on the rebounding front, Gasol takes over more touches in the paint, which can only lead to more scoring opportunities. <strong>Kobe Bryant</strong> understands that Pau needs the ball, and he will let him get his touches.</p>
<p>5. <strong>Emeka Okafor</strong>, Charlotte Bobcats (57.6%, 9.7 FGA, 14 PPG): Okafor&#8217;s great percentage with nearly 10 attempts a game will certain help you in this category, and the fact that he&#8217;s a such a great rebounder and shot blocker as well is gravy.</p>
<p>6. <strong>Andris Biedrins</strong>, Golden State Warriors (56.8%, 9.4 FGA, 13 PPG): Biedrins is an interesting player because it seems like all his baskets are garbage follow dunks. His fantasy owners do not care how he scores, they just love his rebounding and high shooting percentage. You may be surprised to know that he gets almost 10 field goal attempts a game in a guard-oriented Warrior offense.</p>
<p>7. <strong>Yao Ming</strong>, Houston Rockets (54.5%, 13.1 FGA, 19.9 PPG): The 7&#8242;6&#8243; Chinese icon is so good down low, which is evident by his nearly 55 per cent shooting on over 13 attempts a game.</p>
<p>8. <strong>Kendrick Perkins</strong>, Boston Celtics (59.8%, 5.7 FGA, 8.1 PPG): The Boston big man could get more looks in the upcoming weeks with Kevin Garnett sidelined. Perkins is a high percentage shooter, but does not get very many touches with all of the talent surrounding him. He is a marginal fantasy player, but he will help you in FG percentage in a pinch, while putting up nice rebounding and block totals.</p>
<p>9. <strong>Zydrunas Ilgauskas</strong>, Cleveland Cavaliers (50.1%, 11.3 FGA, 13.7 PPG): Big Z is back from injury and doing his thing. He takes a lot of jump shots for a centre, but is deadly accurate.</p>
<p>10. <strong>Marc Gasol</strong>, Memphis Grizzlies (52%, 7.8 FGA, 10.9 PPG): Joining his brother on the top 10 list, baby bro Marc can hold his own down low. The Grizzlies are a young team on the rise and they have a very promising centre. As Gasol develops more on the offensive end, his field goal numbers are sure to only improve.</p>
<p><strong>Low Shooting Percentage, Centres</strong></p>
<p><strong>1. Rasheed Wallace</strong>, Detriot Pistons (42.8%, 11.6 FGA, 12.9 PPG): I am not sure how many more years this former Tar Heel has left as a starter. It seems like he is a fading star with a deteriorating jumper. He does take a lot of threes, but his shooting hurts your FG percentage if you start him at centre. I would look to move him if at all possible.</p>
<p><strong>2. Andrea Bargnani,</strong> Toronto Raptors (42.4%, 11.5 FGA, 13.8 PPG): Even though Bargnani does not have the typical skill set of a centre, he is nearly seven feet tall. He is a rising star in the league and I am sure his field goal numbers will improve down the stretch, but overall, he&#8217;s been so inconsistent this season. The problem is that if you start Bargnani at centre, you are not only getting a low number from him, but you&#8217;re also missing out on the high number from most other centres who are instead starting for another fantasy team.</p>
<p><strong>3. Spencer Hawes</strong>, Sacramento Kings (44.4%, 9.6 FGA, 10.2 PPG): With <b>Brad Miller</b> shipped to the Bulls, Hawes is the man in the middle for the Kings. He has had an up and down first half of the season, but should improve with time. Hawes has solid post moves that will start to work after repetition and game experience. Consider him a sleeper for nice production down the stretch with an improved field goal percentage.</p>
<p>Check in later in the week to see Part 1 of the second series of <em>The Hidden Truth</em>!</p>
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		<title>NBA Today: Pacers Not Done Yet</title>
		<link>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/02/23/nba-today-pacers-not-done-yet/</link>
		<comments>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/02/23/nba-today-pacers-not-done-yet/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Feb 2009 15:56:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>RotoRob</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rotorob.com/?p=3289</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Jim O&#8217;Brien has orchestrated an improved offense for Indy, but the D? Ugh.
The Indiana Pacers showed modest improvement in 2007-08, but this year has been a bit of a disappointment thanks to an awful start that buried the team. Believe it or not, with three wins in their past four games, the Pacers are actually [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="rightimage"><a href="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/jim_obrien.jpg"><img src="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/jim_obrien.jpg" alt="jim_obrien" title="jim_obrien" class="alignright"/></a><br />
Jim O&#8217;Brien has orchestrated an improved offense for Indy, but the D? Ugh.</div>
<p>The Indiana Pacers showed modest improvement in 2007-08, but this year has been a bit of a disappointment thanks to an awful start that buried the team. Believe it or not, with three wins in their past four games, the Pacers are actually over .500 (14-13) since the start of 2009, but injuries to All-Star <strong>Danny Granger</strong>,<strong> Mike Dunleavy</strong> and <strong>Jeff Foster</strong> (who returned Sunday) have ripped a whole in the starting five. It could be an ugly finish in Indy. Then again, <a href="http://www.rotorob.com/2008/12/23/fantasy-notes-pacers-overcoming-the-odds/">this isn&#8217;t the first time this season that the team suddenly starting chalking up Ws with the deck stacked against it</a>. </p>
<p>Granger&#8217;s foot injury will cost him as many as two more weeks; Dunleavy could be just plain Dun for the season in what&#8217;s essentially been a completely lost year for him after last season&#8217;s breakout campaign. </p>
<p>The team&#8217;s overall record is completely underwhelming, yet somehow, the Pacers are the <em>only </em>NBA club to post wins over the Lakers, Celtics, Cavs and Magic this season. The up-tempo offensive system under coach <strong>Jim O&#8217;Brien</strong> continues to show improvements, but defensively, this team has been in free fall for a few seasons. Good defensive efforts have been few and far between, and until the team develops some kind of defensive consistency, it will be hard pressed to take the next step and become a playoff contender in the East.</p>
<p>Of course, if they could win a bit more often than seven times in 30 tries on the road, that would be a good start. At home, Indy has been tough to beat; away from Conseco, they&#8217;ve barely been a match for a high school team.</p>
<p>After pulling off the win against Chicago Sunday (despite going 11 minutes without a FG during the second half), Indy is now just two games back of the Bulls, but sans Granger and Dunleavy, it&#8217;s hard to see the Pacers escaping the Central cellar. But as I mentioned, this team seems to rise to the occasion when its backs are against the wall. When Granger is out, Indy is 5-1; when both Granger and Dunleavy are sidelined, the Pacers are 4-1. What&#8217;s the deal with that?</p>
<p>They travel to MSG to take on the Knicks Monday night, a team that&#8217;s been struggling recently, but plays pretty well at home. Indy had held its own lately, vaulting over Charlotte recently (giving themselves a chance to pass New York with a win Monday), and the playoffs are still a possibility (hey, it&#8217;s the East!), but again, without their two main scoring options, it&#8217;s going to be a very tough haul to expect this recent winning to continue down the stretch.</p>
<p>With the two big guns out, <strong>Troy Murphy</strong> has moved into a primary scoring role, and he responded in a huge way on Sunday, canning 8-of-16 from the field and 8-of-9 from the line for a season-best 27 points. He drained a trio of treys, hauled in 14 boards (that&#8217;s 33 double-doubles for the season, just four shy of his career high), dropped three dimes and pitched in with a steal. Murphy owners are going to enjoy the next few weeks. He&#8217;s already been on fire in February, averaging 18 PPG, but now you can expect even more. Murphy&#8217;s having a superb season, averaging a career-high 11.5 RPG and shooting a career-best 46.4 per cent from the field. Hell, he&#8217;s even draining 80 per cent of his free throws for just the second time in his eight-year career.</p>
<p><strong>T.J. Ford</strong> also figures to see an uptick offensively, and Sunday, he came through with 19 points, helping to ice things by scoring nine in the final four minutes &#8212; a stretch during which Chicago simply couldn&#8217;t stop the speedy PG from getting to the basket. He added eight boards, two steals and a 3-pointer that gave Indy the lead for good, all in 37 minutes of action. Yes, I&#8217;d definitely like to see more than 11 assists over the past three games from a point guard, but before this recent skid, Ford had actually been doing a better job of distributing the rock of late. He&#8217;s always injury prone, but is just one game from matching his games played total from all of last season, so that&#8217;s been huge. What else has been big for Ford this season is his more aggressive play, leading to a career-best 4.5 trips to the charity stripe per game &#8212; <em>two more</em> per game than he had in his last season with Toronto. Small wonder he&#8217;s enjoying his finest offensive season to date.</p>
<p>We slagged Indy&#8217;s defense before, so we suppose it deserves some props for Sunday&#8217;s effort. Chicago scored just 14 points in the paint all game &#8212; the lowest number by an opponent all season long for the Pacers. </p>
<p>As mentioned above, Foster was back Sunday after missing five games with a wonky back. He came off the bench behind <strong>Roy Hibbert</strong>, and didn&#8217;t play much, but it&#8217;s probably just a matter of time before he starts seeing bigger minutes and takes the starting job back &#8212; unless Indy goes into the tank and falls out the race, at which point it would behoove the Pacers to run with the rook down the stretch. Foster looked rusty, shooting just 2-of-6 for only four points and five boards, but he did chip in with a steal. <a href="http://www.rotorob.com/2008/11/17/the-wire-troll-foster-ing-rebounds/">He looked good back in November</a>, but he&#8217;s been slipping the past few months, so I&#8217;m not sure how much value he&#8217;ll have unless you&#8217;re super desperate for a big man. Foster has always been one of those players that just teeters on the edge of fantasy value, as he&#8217;s been a starter about half the time over his career, but just never quite gets enough minutes on a consistent basis to warrant keeping on your roster for longer than brief stretches during a season.</p>
<p>At one point on Sunday, the Pacers missed 13 straight shots. And yet, they came away with the win in the end. Go figure.</p>
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		<title>Sundin’s Return: To Boo or Not to Boo</title>
		<link>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/02/21/sundin%e2%80%99s-return-to-boo-or-not-to-boo/</link>
		<comments>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/02/21/sundin%e2%80%99s-return-to-boo-or-not-to-boo/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Feb 2009 20:09:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>RotoRob</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[
Will Leaf fans give Mats Sundin the gears Saturday, or will he be cheered?
BY TSM
Editor’s Note: This article comes to us courtesy of Torontosportsmedia.com, a web site that focuses on the sports journalism scene in T.O. We will soon be engaging in a content-sharing arrangement with this site, so here’s a taste.
The world is going [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="centerimage"><a href="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/fans_boo.jpg"><img src="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/fans_boo.jpg" alt="fans_boo" title="fans_boo" class="aligncenter"/></a><br />
Will Leaf fans give Mats Sundin the gears Saturday, or will he be cheered?</div>
<p><strong>BY TSM</strong></p>
<p><em>Editor’s Note: This article comes to us courtesy of <a href="http://torontosportsmedia.com/">Torontosportsmedia.com</a>, a web site that focuses on the sports journalism scene in T.O. We will soon be engaging in a content-sharing arrangement with this site, so here’s a taste.</em></p>
<p>The world is going to hell in a hand basket. Unemployment is at a recent high, people are losing jobs, homes, etc. There is so much to talk about and yet the editors of the <i>Toronto Sun</i> in Friday&#8217;s paper actually had the balls to not only write about <strong>Mats Sundin&#8217;s</strong> return, but to shame Leaf fans into cheering for the guy. <i>Are you kidding me? A freaking editorial</i> on Sundin&#8217;s return? Pertinent snippets from the editorial and other stories on this issue can be found in quotes below.</p>
<p>&#8220;As hockey players say, the fans pay for the tickets and they have a right to cheer or boo whom they please. But we hope fans at the Air Canada Centre tomorrow night cheer Mats Sundin when he takes the ice for the Vancouver Canucks. In his first trip back to the ACC in an opponent&#8217;s uniform, Sundin deserves respect. &#8221;</p>
<p>What a total load of crap. Utter, 100 per cent crap. He &#8220;deserves&#8221; respect. He plays for another team! Since when are we &#8220;supposed to&#8221; cheer another team? We fans of Toronto teams take a beating from the press. We are suckers, idiots, too quiet, too cheap, too die-hard, too biased and now this? <i>Enough</i>.</p>
<p>This isn&#8217;t an attack on Sundin. This is a matter of fact. When he retires and gets his jersey raised to the banners that will be the time for respect. We are supposed to cheer a member of the opposition now?</p>
<p>&#8220;Anyone who doubts that, need only look at them this year, without him. There&#8217;s not much worth watching.&#8221;</p>
<p>With Sundin and the rest of his &#8220;crew&#8221; over the last three years, what exactly was there worth watching? That is not a condemnation on No. 13. It&#8217;s a fact. The results over the last nearly four seasons &#8212; with or without Sundin &#8212; have been the same, so don&#8217;t give me that crap.</p>
<p>&#8220;Sundin grew into an NHL superstar in a Leaf uniform and a lock for the Hockey Hall of Fame. He merits our respect because he&#8217;s earned it. The old-fashioned way. One game at a time.&#8221;</p>
<p>I agree 100 per cent, he was a terrific athlete and player and representative of our team. We don&#8217;t have to cheer him Saturday night. He plays for another team. Every time <strong>Wayne Gretzky</strong> or <strong>Mario Lemieux</strong> touched the puck in the middle of their legendary careers they got booed. We as fans don&#8217;t cheer the opposition (unless of course you are a paying member of tank nation). When those guys came to town later in a non playing life or on their last visit, when they were honoured, they got what the respect they deserved.</p>
<p>&#8220;Some will bitch Sundin never led the Leafs to a Stanley Cup, even as they praise other captains who failed to do exactly the same thing. Some will whine Sundin should have waived his no-trade clause last year for some late-season draft picks or talent. We don&#8217;t hold any of it against him. Sundin simply exercised a no-trade clause he fairly negotiated. It wasn&#8217;t a sneak attack.&#8221;</p>
<p>None of those are reasons not to cheer for him. I would have preferred he won a Cup, but that alone doesn&#8217;t warrant him not getting cheered. Let&#8217;s get this no trade clause thing over once and for all. Oddly enough, <i>The Sun&#8217;s</i> <strong>Steve Simmons</strong> hit one out of the park on Friday, especially on the issue of Sundin&#8217;s no-trade clause:</p>
<p>&#8220;The last important decision Mats Sundin made as captain of the Maple Leafs set his beloved hockey team back several seasons. There cannot be much disputing of that. Sundin&#8217;s decision to remain a Maple Leaf last winter was a determination based on loyalty, his own built-in naivete and a position he was entitled to take by the very contract he had signed. But his public rationalizations for not relinquishing the no-trade aspect of his contract have been proven over time to be contradictory, baseless or, at the very worst, dishonest. He said one thing and did the other. He said he couldn&#8217;t envision himself in another uniform. He said he didn&#8217;t believe in being a rental player, that to live through the Stanley Cup process, you had to start from the beginning.&#8221;</p>
<p>Bingo. He owed the team and its fans nothing. <i>Nothing</i>. He had, if nothing else earned a reputation of being truthful, so many hockey critics said it over and over &#8212; Sundin is a genuine guy. We were told to believe what he said. When Sundin said he wasn&#8217;t willing to move after talking to <strong>Borje Salming</strong> and that he always had believed you have to be with a team from day one, we were told to honour that. That is fine. I had no problem with that then. I have a huge problem when he goes back on that word. Can he change his mind? Of course he can. We all do. We certainly do in our own lives every day. We all don&#8217;t look into a TV camera with a tear in eye and say something as powerful and meaningful as he did. When you do so, and you go back on your word (lie) you better be prepared for the repercussions. </p>
<p>&#8220;If I were a paying customer of the Leafs, overpaying for a less-than-capable NHL product, I would boo Sundin with fervour. I would hold him partly responsible for making <strong>Brian Burke&#8217;s</strong> job as onerous as it is. You can&#8217;t play both sides of the fence. You can&#8217;t say you are staying out of loyalty, out of passion, and then do the opposite, without angering the passionate, without being held responsible for some of the carnage you left behind.&#8221;</p>
<p><i>Exactly</i>. That, from Simmons, in comparison to this from his editors, is the gospel:</p>
<p>&#8220;And let&#8217;s get real. Leaf management was never serious about building a Stanley Cup contender around Sundin. Where were the wingers Number 13 needed when he was in his prime? The seats were full and so were the owners&#8217; pockets. The Leafs made Sundin rich, too. What decent NHL player isn&#8217;t? But more than a superstar, Sundin was that increasingly rare phenomenon in hockey and professional sport &#8212; a role model. Tomorrow night, cheer. He deserves that much.&#8221;</p>
<p>Raise your hand if you truly believe, in your heart of hearts, brain of brains, despite what <strong>Wilbur </strong>says, that the owners didn&#8217;t want to win. That is complete and utter horsekaka (check out <i>Private Eyes</i> starring <strong>Tim Conway </strong>and <strong>Don Knotts</strong> for more). It is such a hollow line of crap. Where they successful? No. Did they make huge mistakes? <i>Yes</i>. Should we be furious? <i>Yes</i>. Did they not want to win? <i>No</i>, that is just plain dumb. Any idea how much more cash they would make if they had won?</p>
<p>&#8220;The fact he is a rental player now with Vancouver makes that all the more difficult to digest. Sundin may have been acting out of love for his Maple Leafs in making his decision last season, but his love, in this case, has proven to be selfish, contradictory and externally damaging.&#8221; </p>
<p>Someone give Mr. Simmons a prize. </p>
<p>Over at <i>The Globe and Mail</i>, <strong>Roy MacGregor</strong> takes a more philosophical look at the comeback:</p>
<p>&#8220;Still, Sundin is both a special player — 1,332 points in 1,321 NHL games — and a special person, a quiet captain for the Leafs who was both a model of consistency and a model citizen. At least until last year, when he chose to engage his no-trade clause and thereby denied the Leafs the chance to trade him for something, anything, that might have advanced the team&#8217;s rebuilding plans. Then there were the embarrassing poker ads on television, Sundin essentially endorsing the wonky notion that there is something sporting in a card game. And then there was the endless hemming and hawing over where he was going — the Montreal Canadiens, Ottawa and Vancouver were all in pursuit — only to have him declare the Canucks had been his choice all along. If only he&#8217;d just said so.&#8221;</p>
<p>I had never really thought about the Poker ad. That actually is pretty funny. </p>
<p>&#8220;’I feel good about going back. Toronto is still a home for me. I spent 13 years within the city as a Toronto Maple Leaf, so it&#8217;s always going to be part of my heart. At the same time, once the puck drops, it&#8217;s going to be a game like any other game.’ Sure. And <strong>Barack Obama</strong> is going to be a president like any other.&#8221;</p>
<p>Exactly. Sundin was less than honest then and he is being less than honest now. The lie he told then was more hurtful, this more recent one more understandable.</p>
<p>Even <strong>Damien Cox</strong>, who is usually pretty sane when it comes to this stuff, wrote the following:</p>
<p>&#8220;But if Maple Leaf fans can imagine any time in the near future that their team will regain a sense of respect around the NHL and become an organization that celebrates excellence over mediocrity, they might want to reconsider their too-frequent reflex to boo. They boo <strong>Sidney Crosby</strong> like they once booed <strong>Bobby Orr</strong>, apparently because talent offends them. They showered derision upon <strong>Larry Murphy</strong>, who promptly moved to Detroit and won a couple of Cups with the Red Wings. They boo <strong>Daniel Alfredsson</strong> for an alleged crime of disrespect committed, interestingly, against Sundin, mimicking the Leaf captain&#8217;s petulant toss of his stick into the audience five years ago. For Sundin on Saturday, however, the only reasonable response should be two-fold. The man deserves a good, hearty round of applause, with a good number of those in attendance on their feet. He may not have contributed more to the Leaf organization than <strong>Doug Gilmour</strong> or <strong>Wendel Clark</strong>, but he surely didn&#8217;t contribute less and deserves similar treatment. Once the ovation is over, the Leafs should then try to knock his block off. Nothing illegal or cheap, but good, hard hockey that would leave Sundin leaving the ACC thinking it was no fun at all.&#8221;</p>
<p>What a farce. Why are people comparing a current player to two retired guys? Why are we comparing guys who got traded away as opposed to one who chose to walk away? The media were equally as culpable for running Murphy out of town as the fans. Every arena in the NHL boos every star player. Is there always a handful of that star player’s jersey in attendance? Yup. Do they still get booed? Hell, yes. Oh, and Damien, that happens in <i>every</i> sports arena in <i>every</i> league in North America. Do Laker fans cheer on <strong>LeBron James</strong>? Of course not. Do they overpay to see him? Hell, yes. Do some wear his jersey? Yup. Do they boo him? <i>Yes</i> &#8212; it&#8217;s what fans do!</p>
<p>&#8220;That&#8217;s how to produce a strong impression that the club has turned the page on the Sundin years and is marching towards a better future with pride rather than wasting time trashing former heroes.&#8221;</p>
<p>Ummmm, no. When he retires, honour him. While he plays for another team, you do as Simmons says, you boo. Or as you accuse most Leaf game attendees of doing, you sit on your hands (sorry, I couldn&#8217;t resist!). </p>
<p>&#8220;Leaf fans, really, should care about only two Sundin related issues. First, that the classy Swede grew sick of the screwed-up manner in which the Toronto operation was being run. Are things different under Brian Burke? We&#8217;re still learning the answer to that question. Second, as with any number of good players in recent years, Sundin left town without fetching any assets in return. This is an organization that has consistently been unable to understand that the best time to move athletes is at the peak of their value, not when they&#8217;ve outlived their usefulness. None of this was Sundin&#8217;s fault. Those who accuse him of lying to the Leafs about his true intentions are fools. Those who would jeer him upon his return belong to the same category.&#8221;</p>
<p>It’s fascinating that the guy who called Sundin the most honest and truthful Maple Leaf in recent memory is drinking the Kool-Aid. I agree with Damien&#8217;s first point above. I think it is hilarious, mind numbingly funny that out of one side of his mouth Damien says that Sundin didn&#8217;t lie, and out of the other Damien blames the buds for not getting anything for Mats. The worst part is that Damien is dead on with one of the Leafs’ biggest problems over the years, especially <strong>John Ferguson, Jr.</strong>, being &#8220;unable to understand that the best time to move athletes is at the peak of their value, not when they&#8217;ve outlived their usefulness&#8221;. That is right. This is why <strong>Vesa Toskala</strong> should have been dealt last year. It&#8217;s why perhaps <strong>Matt Stajan</strong> and <strong>Dominic Moore</strong> should be dealt this year.</p>
<p><strong>Berger </strong>was just on The Fan previewing his blog (thrilling, I realize). He did say one thing that was interesting. He really loves argyle sweaters. No, just kidding. He said that the reason this is such a big story is because there is nothing else to talk about. To a certain degree, he is right. He is right in that there is a huge void in this town with regard to interesting sports stories. The Hab boys who are being tied to some mobster may be able to tell us which is a better bet, the Leafs or the Raptors will finish dead last. Can you imagine the lull on March 6? At least between now and then we can focus on the deadline. What the hell do we do between that and the draft? Seriously! Back to reality…this is a big story because the press has nothing better to talk about. None of these guys cares about Sundin. They all care about selling clicks or papers. This is controversial and right now there just isn&#8217;t anything else out there.</p>
<p>I will say it one last time. People should do what they want to do. Those who cheer are a little bit nostalgic and I suspect a little bit like sheep, doing that which they are told to do. Those who boo, I hope you are booing the opposition, or at the very least the liar. Sundin was one hell of a Maple Leaf player. Some called him the quietest Maple Leaf leader ever. If true, he should have kept his mouth shut; it is that and not his play that got him in to trouble.</p>
<p><strong>Links</strong></p>
<p>Read Simmons <a href="http://www.torontosun.com/sports/columnists/steve_simmons/2009/02/20/8461286-sun.html">here</a>.</p>
<p>Read <i>The Sun</i> idiot editors <a href="http://www.torontosun.com/comment/editorial/2009/02/20/8458666-sun.html">here</a>.</p>
<p>Read Roy MacGregor <a href="http://sports.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20090219.wsptroy19/GSStory/GlobeSportsHockey/home">here</a>.</p>
<p>Read Cox <a href="http://www.thestar.com/comment/columnists/article/589063">here</a>.</p>
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		<title>The Hidden Truth: FG Percentage, Part II</title>
		<link>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/02/18/the-hidden-truth-fg-percentage-part-ii/</link>
		<comments>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/02/18/the-hidden-truth-fg-percentage-part-ii/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Feb 2009 18:16:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Hardin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Alex Hardin]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[
Paul Millsap has been a fantasy saviour with Carlos Boozer out. Unfortunately, Boozer is nearly set to return.
Welcome to the Part Two of the Hidden Truth: FG Percentage, where today we take a look at FG percentage at the forward position. Thanks to some “helpful” advice, these rankings, unlike those for the guards, incorporate field [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="centerimage"><a href="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/paul_millsap.jpg"><img src="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/paul_millsap.jpg" alt="paul_millsap" title="paul_millsap" class="aligncenter"/></a><br />
Paul Millsap has been a fantasy saviour with Carlos Boozer out. Unfortunately, Boozer is nearly set to return.</div>
<p>Welcome to the Part Two of the Hidden Truth: FG Percentage, where today we take a look at FG percentage at the forward position. Thanks to some “helpful” advice, these rankings, unlike those for the guards, incorporate field goals percentage while examining how many shots a game the player takes. Shown in each ranking is field goal percentage, field goals attempted per game, and their scoring average per game. This is relevant because a guy who shoots more will have a greater effect on your team percentage.</p>
<p>Remember, FG percentage is no more important than any other Roto category, but it is something to look at while drafting, trading, and picking up free agents.</p>
<p>1. <strong>David Lee</strong>, New York Knicks (56.4%, 11.7 FGA, 16.4 PPG): Lee plays within five feet of the basket with great success.</p>
<p>2. <strong>Kevin Garnett</strong>, Boston Celtics (52.5%, 13.6 FGA, 16.4 PPG): KG, the heart and soul of the Celtics, is a consistent jump shooter, but can also throw it down in the paint.</p>
<p>3. <strong>Tim Duncan</strong>, San Antonio Spurs (52.2%, 15.6 FGA, 20.8 PPG): The Big Fundamental is always solid in this category and it’s very nice to see him bounce back after a somewhat down season in 2007-08 in which he shot under 50 per cent.</p>
<p>4. <strong>Chris Bosh</strong>, Toronto Raptors (49.6%, 15.9 FGA, 22.8 PPG): Bosh is a great fantasy player who helps in many categories, but let’s hope his knee is okay after taking two weeks off.</p>
<p>5. <strong>LeBron James</strong>, Cleveland Cavaliers (49.1%, 20.3 FGA, 28.5 PPG): King James takes over 20 shots a game and he is shooting nearly 50 per cent, which is obviously great news for your Roto squad.</p>
<p>6. <strong>LaMarcus Aldridge</strong>, Portland Trail Blazers (48.9%, 15.1 FGA, 17.6 PPG): The former Longhorn standout is having a very nice year. He takes about 15 shots a game and makes them at a 49 per cent clip, providing a nice scoring option.</p>
<p>7. <strong>Paul Millsap</strong>, Utah Jazz (54.8%, 10.6 FGA, 14 PPG): Millsap has been an excellent stopgap for <strong>Carlos Boozer</strong>, but his production may be headed downhill with Boozer supposedly very close to returning.</p>
<p>8. <strong>Luis Scola</strong>, Houston Rockets (52.7%, 9.5 FGA, 12.4 PPG): Scola is never flashy, but he plays hard and gets the job done.</p>
<p>9. <strong>Grant Hill</strong>, Phoenix Suns (52.5%, 8.3 FGA, 11.1 PPG): If he were still drinking Sprite, maybe he would shoot the ball more. Hill gets limited minutes but shoots at a solid percentage; in fact, he’s on pace for a career best in this category.</p>
<p>10. <strong>Kenyon Martin</strong>, Denver Nuggets (50.6%, 10.6 FGA, 12.9 PPG): K-Mart has been shopping for easy buckets all year long.</p>
<p>11. <strong>Josh Smith</strong>, Atlanta Hawks (48.6%, 12.6 FGA, 15.7 PPG): The athletic Hawk forward provides an explosive presence on the court.  He is also not too bad on paper.</p>
<p>12. <strong>Dirk Nowitzki</strong>, Dallas Mavericks (47.4%, 20 FGA, 25.9 PPG): – For such a high volume jump shooter, his percentage is right where you want it.</p>
<p>13. <strong>Zach Randolph</strong>, Los Angeles Clippers (47.5%, 18.1 FGA, 22 PPG): Besides being a punkass, Randolph shoots well in the paint.</p>
<p>14. <strong>Boris Diaw</strong>, Charlotte Bobcats (49.4%, 10 FGA, 11.8 PPG): Diaw has a chance to establish his game in a new city, and so far, the results have been excellent.</p>
<p>15. <strong>Udonis Haslem</strong>, Miami Heat (51.4%, 8.8 FGA, 10.8 PPG): Not a go-to guy, but Haslem throws up nearly nine shots a game at over 50 per cent success rate.</p>
<p>16. <strong>Jason Thompson</strong>, Sacramento Kings (50%, 8.3 FGA, 10.4 PPG): The Kings rookie has been up and down all season, but has good numbers for a freshman.</p>
<p>17. <strong>Lamar Odom</strong>, Los Angeles Lakers (49.2%, 8.1 FGA, 10.3 PPG): Odom has been getting way more looks with <strong>Andrew Bynum</strong> going down for an extended period.</p>
<p>18. <strong>Shawn Marion</strong>, Toronto Raptors (48.2%, 10.6 FGA, 12 PPG): It will be interesting to see how he fits in Toronto playing next to Bosh, but don’t be surprised to see his skill reemerge now that he’s out of Miami.</p>
<p><strong>Top 10 Clankers</strong></p>
<p>1. <strong>Ron Artest</strong>, Houston Rockets (38.8%, 13.9 FGA, 15.8 PPG): Overrated. Overrated. Overrated. Yeah, I said it.</p>
<p>2. <strong>Stephen Jackson</strong>, Golden State Warriors (40.5%, 16.7 FGA,  20.5 PPG): S-Jax scores a lot, but he also misses quite a bit.</p>
<p>3. <strong>Hedo Turkoglu</strong>, Orlando Magic (40.1%,  13.9 FGA, 17 PPG) – His name on this list was a surprise to me, as anytime I see the Magic play, he seems to hit a lot of shots.</p>
<p>4. <strong>Al Harrington</strong>New York Knicks (42.3%, 17.5 FGA,  20.2 PPG): Maybe if the shoes he wore were not sold exclusively at K-Mart, he would shoot better.</p>
<p>5. <strong>Peja Stojakovic</strong>, New Orleans Hornets (41.1%, 12.4 FGA, 14.4 PPG): Stojakovic is a long range specialist who shoots two-pointers at an only slightly higher percentage as he does three-pointers.</p>
<p>6. <strong>Richard Jefferson</strong>, Milwaukee Bucks (43.2%, 13.8 FGA, 17.7 PPG): It has got to suck to be stuck in Milwaukee, especially given that half the team is hurt.</p>
<p>7. <strong>Wilson Chandler</strong>, New York Knicks (42.6%, 12.4 FGA, 13.7 PPG) – I am surprised that Chandler has gotten the ball enough to shoot over 12 times a game. I guess in <strong>Mike D’Antoni’s</strong> system, everyone gets looks.</p>
<p>8. <strong>Danny Granger</strong>, Indiana Pacers (43.5%, 19 FGA, 25.4 PPG): It is a shame he has bad knees, because Granger could be a special player. He may force it at times, but his team needs him to shoot the rock.</p>
<p>9. <strong>Andres Nocioni</strong>, Chicago Bulls (41.4%, 8.5 FGA, 10.4 PPG): This year has been a struggle for the native of Argentina.</p>
<p>10. <strong>Matt Barnes</strong>, Phoenix Suns (40.9%, 8.3 FGA, 9.3 PPG): Barnes was on plenty of sleeper lists heading into this season, but despite seeing more minutes than usual, his fantasy relevance has almost completely vanished, in no small part because his shooting continues to suffer.</p>
<p>On Friday, we will take a look at the big dudes and see how they stack up.</p>
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		<title>The Hidden Truth: FG Percentage, Part&#160;One</title>
		<link>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/02/16/the-hidden-truth-fg-percentage-part-one/</link>
		<comments>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/02/16/the-hidden-truth-fg-percentage-part-one/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Feb 2009 18:21:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Hardin</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[Tracy McGrady]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UCLA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Utah Jazz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vince Carter]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rotorob.com/?p=3140</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Need a guard that can help you in FG percentage? Give Ronnie Brewer a look.
Welcome to the first edition of The Hidden Truth, a new NBA fantasy column in which I will be focusing on exposing the stats and players that win fantasy leagues. For instance, everyone knows Allen Iverson can hoop, but what are [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="rightimage"><a href="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/ronnie_brewer.jpg"><img src="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/ronnie_brewer.jpg" alt="ronnie_brewer" title="ronnie_brewer" class="alignright"/></a><br />
Need a guard that can help you in FG percentage? Give Ronnie Brewer a look.</div>
<p>Welcome to the first edition of <em>The Hidden Truth</em>, a new NBA fantasy column in which I will be focusing on exposing the stats and players that win fantasy leagues. For instance, everyone knows <b>Allen Iverson</b> can hoop, but what are the consequences of starting him in your fantasy league? Does he shoot a high percentage? For those Roto-lovers out there, all categories are equal. First place in steals is the same as first place in points. So let’s dive in!</p>
<p>The first edition of this column will focus on field goal percentage. It is evident that if you take more shots farther from the rim, your shooting percentage is usually lower, so you have to take these rankings with a grain of salt. Just because <strong>Chauncey Billups</strong> shoots a low percentage does not make him a worse fantasy player than <b>Ronnie Brewer</b>, who is in the top 10 in FG percentage. To build a championship fantasy hoops squad, you must be balanced, but it does help to have guys with high field goal percentages at all positions.</p>
<p>Today we will look at the guards.</p>
<p><strong>Top 10 High Percentage Finishers</strong></p>
<p>1. <strong>Rajon Rondo</strong>, Boston Celtics (50.3%): The Celtic point guard is a solid fantasy player as he puts up decent points, assists, rebounds, and steals, but he shines in the field goal percentage category. This is a product of taking good shots in a good system, but man has he ever come a long way from his rookie season when his shooting was considered a major weakness.</p>
<p>2. <strong>Chris Paul</strong>, New Orleans Hornets (49.6%): Mr. Do-it-all also does not miss too often.</p>
<p>3. <strong>Ronnie Brewer</strong>, Utah Jazz (49.5%): <strong>Jerry Sloan</strong> likes this slasher because he gets good shots. People may see him as a role player, but he is averaging over 13 PPG this season.</p>
<p>4. <strong>Jose Calderon</strong>, Toronto Raptors (49.4%): Calderon does it a little differently &#8212; even though he is more of an outside shooter than Rondo or <strong>Tony Parker</strong>, he will help you in FG percentage just as much.</p>
<p>5. <strong>Tony Parker</strong>, San Antonio Spurs (49.4%): The Frenchman has perfected his 15-to-18 foot jumper from dead-on. This compliments his drives to the basket which create high percentage layups.</p>
<p>6. <strong>Ray Allen</strong>, Boston Celtics (49.1%): For a guy who chucks up threes at an alarming rate, it is a surprise that Ray-Ray clocks in at sixth on the list. I think people discount all of the layups he gets on baseline drives after doing a pump fake.</p>
<p>7. <strong>Andre Miller</strong>, Philadelphia 76ers (47.9%): The steady point guard always finds a way to take good shots.</p>
<p>8. <strong>Dwyane Wade</strong>, Miami Heat (47.8%): Flash is back and he is doing his thing.</p>
<p>9. <strong>Kobe Bryant</strong>, Los Angeles Lakers (47.5%): Kobe makes more difficult shots than anyone in the league.</p>
<p>10. <strong>Brandon Roy</strong>, Portland Trail Blazers (47.4%): Roy has a nice jumper, but he also can finish near the rim, as we saw on his dramatic game-winning bucket against the Knicks recently.</p>
<p>Honourable mention: <strong> Derrick Rose</strong> (47.3%), <strong>Leandro Barbosa </strong>(47.2%), <strong>Mike Miller</strong> (47.2%), <strong>Deron Williams</strong> (47.2%), <strong>Steve Nash</strong> (46.8%), <strong>Mo Williams</strong> (46.8%)</p>
<p>Note: <strong>Jameer Nelson</strong> was shooting over 50 per cent from the field, but he is now out for the season, so he was not included on this list.</p>
<p><strong>Top 10 Clankers</strong></p>
<p>1. <strong>Baron Davis</strong>, Los Angeles Clippers (35.2%): Too many bad shots coupled with injury problems has left B-Diddy as a bust this season.</p>
<p>2. <strong>Tracy McGrady</strong> (38.8%), Houston Rockets: T-Mac loves to shoot and can be very streaky. Now, he&#8217;s on the shelf.</p>
<p>3. <strong>Raymond Felton</strong>, Charlotte Bobcats (39.4%): Will learn to take better shots.</p>
<p>4. <strong>Russell Westbrook</strong>, Oklahoma City Thunder (40.7%): The former UCLA guard will get better with time as he works off Durant.</p>
<p>5. <strong>Randy Foye</strong>, Minnesota Timberwolves (40.9%): Nobody in American has seen all of the misses. Have the Timberwolves ever played on national TV?</p>
<p>6. <strong>Chauncey Billups</strong>, Denver Nuggets (41.6%): Mr. Big Shot is also Mr. Big Miss, but in fairness, he shoots a lot of three balls, and that hurts his percentage.</p>
<p>7. <strong>Jason Kidd</strong>, Dallas Mavericks (41.6%): His jumper is as ugly as his kid.</p>
<p>8. <strong>Jamal Crawford</strong>, Golden State Warriors (41.7%): This baller could drop 30 points or shoot under 30 per cent on any given night.</p>
<p>9.<strong> Kevin Martin</strong>, Sacramento Kings (41.9%): He forces it a lot, but then again the Kings do suck, so who else is going to chuck it up?</p>
<p>10. <strong>Allen Iverson</strong>, Detroit Pistons (42.1%): AI has always been a “volume” shooter…everywhere he goes.</p>
<p>Dishonourable mention: <strong>Mike Conley</strong> (42.4%), <strong>Chris Duhon </strong>(42.4%), <strong>Derek Fisher</strong> (42.4%), <strong>Mario Chalmers</strong> (42.6%), <strong>Roger Mason</strong> (42.7%), <strong>Joe Johnson</strong> (43.3%), <strong>Nate Robinson</strong> (43.8%), <strong>Vince Carter</strong> (43.9%).</p>
<p>As mentioned before, this list does not determine a player&#8217;s overall worth. It is just one factor you should consider when building your fantasy lineup. Also, bear in mind that I tried to focus on fantasy relevant players. I am not going to argue if you say <strong>Daniel &#8220;Booby&#8221; Gibson </strong>should be on the list because his percentage is lower than Billups. However, in my mind, anyone named Booby should be a fantasy free agent.</p>
<p><strong>Next</strong>: On Wednesday, we&#8217;ll take a look at the top-shooting and worst-shooting Forwards.</p>
<p><a href="http://beltwaybraves.blogspot.com/"><img src="http://www.rotorob.com/ads/beltwaybraves_banner.gif" width="468" height="60" border="0" alt="Beltway Braves" /></a></p>
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		<title>NBA Today: Sixers Even the Score</title>
		<link>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/02/06/nba-today-sixers-even-the-score/</link>
		<comments>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/02/06/nba-today-sixers-even-the-score/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Feb 2009 02:40:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>RotoRob</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BASKETBALL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NBA Today]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RotoRob]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andre Iguodala]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andre Miller]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[baske]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Elton Brand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fantasy basketball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Indiana Pacers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lou Williams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Miami Heat]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NBA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Philadelphia 76ers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Samuel Dalembert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Thaddeus Young]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Toronto Raptors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Willie Green]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rotorob.com/?p=2944</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Elton Brand will be spending plenty of time wearing a suit and sitting on his duff.
The Philadelphia 76ers, one of the hottest teams in the NBA in January, hadn’t exactly been building on this success during their current seven-game homestand. In fact, heading into action Thursday, the Sixers had dropped two of the first three [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="rightimage"><a href="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/elton_brand.jpg"><img src="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/elton_brand.jpg" alt="elton_brand" title="elton_brand" class="alignright"/></a><br />
Elton Brand will be spending plenty of time wearing a suit and sitting on his duff.</div>
<p>The Philadelphia 76ers, one of the hottest teams in the NBA in January, hadn’t exactly been building on this success during their current seven-game homestand. In fact, heading into action Thursday, the Sixers had dropped two of the first three games of the stand. But Thursday, Philly withstood a late run by the Pacers to snap a two-game losing skid and get back to .500 for the season.</p>
<p>It’s been a season of slight progress for the Sixers, but certainly not to the extent that many had expected. After makes strides offensively last season, the team’s scoring hasn’t developed any more. The defense is slightly better, but again, nothing earth shattering. The Sixers are second in the division, but only because Toronto has tanked this season. They currently hold down the seventh seed in the East and have been inching closer to sixth-place Miami, setting up a big game Saturday night when the Heat comes to town.</p>
<p>Of course, the big news in Sixer Land is that <b>Elton Brand’s</b> shoulder – you know, the one <a href="http://www.rotorob.com/2008/12/19/fantasy-notes-brand-new-challenge/">expected to keep him out for a month back before Christmas</a> &#8212; has now sidelined the team’s big off-season acquisition for the remainder of the year. He managed to return and play five games last month and one in February, but wasn’t seeing significant enough minutes to really be a fantasy factor, so essentially – from his owners’ standpoint – he has just been a waste of space for almost two months now. Well, at least you can now cut him without fear he’ll come back to bite you.</p>
<p>With Brand out, look for <strong>Andre Miller</strong> to take a more important role in the offense in the coming weeks. He’s been dropping dimes like mad lately, dishing a dozen Thursday and averaging 8.4 in the past five. But he’s also logging heavy minutes since Brand shut it down. There have been rumours he could be dealt, so that’s something to keep an eye on. Miller hasn’t shot the ball quite as well this season, and that’s a trend that doesn’t seem to be turning around after his 3-for-9 performance Thursday dropped him to 40 per cent for the past three games. As Miller’s touches rise, it appears his FG percentage won’t come along for the ride. Still, I’m sure you’re not complaining about the double-double he dropped Thursday – just his fourth of the season after he racked up 14 last season. Overall, Miller has had a decent season, probably good enough to justify <a href="http://www.rotorob.com/2008/10/26/charity-stripe-media-league-draft/">the fourth round pick you likely spent to obtain him</a>, but I’m not sure how much more he’s going to help you now that Brand is done.</p>
<p>Obviously, the other player who will be leaned on more now is <strong>Andre Iguodala</strong>. Let’s hope the extra touches helps Iggy continue to elevate his game after he endured a very sluggish start to the season. <a href="http://www.rotorob.com/2008/10/27/2008-09-nba-draft-kit-top-41-forwards/">We had the dude pegged as a top 10 forward this year</a>, but despite his recent turnaround, he’s still not playing like a top 15 forward. That could change in the second half, making him an excellent buy-low candidate. He’s been scoring well lately (20 PPG in the past five) and racking up the steals (seven in the past two games), but until Thursday, hadn’t been doing much in the way of boards and assists recently. However, Iguodala just missed out on a triple double – something he hasn’t accomplished in a couple of seasons. He settled for his ninth double-double of the season, which – surprisingly – is a new career high, and we’re only in February. Most people have been moaning about his down year, but really, he’s not far behind what he accomplished last season, and there’s still time for him to exceed it. Iggy’s been getting more touches as the season has progressed, and that’s a trend that should definitely continue in the wake of Brand’s shut down. The fact that Iguodala has shot the ball better this season (47.5 per cent) bodes well for a big second half, offensively. </p>
<p>In both of the losses during its two-game skid, Philly coughed up leads late. Thursday, the Sixers held their own. That’s a trend that will have to continue if this team hopes to keep moving up the Eastern Conference standings. But as long as they keep finding ways to win (11 in the past 15 games), the Sixers are going to be a team no one is interested in meeting come playoff time in April.</p>
<p>The 76ers took over the game in the third quarter, outscoring Indy 26-13 and you can thank <strong>Willie Green</strong> for this run. He poured in 11 of his season-high 23 points in the quarter. With Brand out, perhaps it’s time to consider Green in a deeper league as a possible wire pickup. Sure, he’s been inconsistent as hell (he scored a 20 points last Friday, but just 12 in the next two games before his explosion Thursday), but you’ve got to figure his waning PT should turn around now. I mean, with season highs in points twice in the past four games, Green deserves a bit more burn and if he starts regularly seeing 25 or more minutes, he’ll be worth a pickup. Even though he’s a backcourt player, Green’s value has been directly tied to Brand’s status. Green lost his starting job to Iggy this year, as Iggy moved from the three to the two to accommodate Brand in the frontcourt, but Green is back starting since Brand got hurt, and now it looks like he’ll hang onto the role for the remainder of the season. One note, however: I’d watch how the minutes shake out between Green and <strong>Lou Williams</strong> before making a claim on either.</p>
<p>With Brand toast, Philly needs a more balanced attack like it received Thursday when five players hit double-digits in scoring. In addition to Green, Iguodala and Miller, <strong>Samuel Dalembert</strong> came through with a big night (18 points and 20 boards) while <strong>Thaddeus Young</strong> (also expected to benefit from Brand’s injury), pitched in with 14 points.</p>
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		<title>NBA Draft Strategy</title>
		<link>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/02/04/nba-draft-strategy/</link>
		<comments>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/02/04/nba-draft-strategy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Feb 2009 18:12:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>RotoRob</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BASKETBALL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Draft strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Leagues]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RotoRob correspondent report]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cleveland Cavaliers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daniel Gibson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Draftbug]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RotoRob]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sasha Pavlovic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Toronto Raptors]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rotorob.com/?p=2923</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Sasha Pavlovic&#8217;s &#8220;illness&#8221; Tuesday opened the door for Daniel Gibson to play starter-type minutes.
Editor’s Note: Did you miss the boat on joining an NBA fantasy league this fall? No problem-o. Over at Draftbug.com you can hop in whenever you like and play in a fantasy league that features a shorter season. Try daily or weekly [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="centerimage"><a href="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/sasha_pavlovic.jpg"><img src="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/sasha_pavlovic.jpg" alt="sasha_pavlovic" title="sasha_pavlovic" class="aligncenter"/></a><br />
Sasha Pavlovic&#8217;s &#8220;illness&#8221; Tuesday opened the door for Daniel Gibson to play starter-type minutes.</div>
<p><em>Editor’s Note: Did you miss the boat on joining an NBA fantasy league this fall? No problem-o. Over at <a href="http://www.draftbug.com/Home/tabid/374/Default.aspx?affiliate=rotorob">Draftbug.com</a> you can hop in whenever you like and play in a fantasy league that features a shorter season. Try daily or weekly leagues. That sure takes the sting out watching your team suck all season after a crappy draft. Go check out <a href="http://www.draftbug.com/Home/tabid/374/Default.aspx?affiliate=rotorob">Draftbug.com</a> and tell them <strong>RotoRob </strong>sent you (we get free Popsicles for every one who signs up!).<br />
</em></p>
<p><strong>BY ALEX ZELVIN, <a href="http://www.draftbug.com/Home/tabid/374/Default.aspx?affiliate=rotorob ">Draftbug.com</a></strong></p>
<p>I realize that most of you are primarily interested in fantasy baseball, but since it’s basketball season, I thought I&#8217;d share some fantasy hoops strategy to help you win at <a href="http://www.draftbug.com/Home/tabid/374/Default.aspx?affiliate=rotorob">Draftbug </a>and other daily fantasy basketball contests (such as Snapdraft). My approach to this (and it’s worth mentioning that I haven&#8217;t had time to try this out yet) is fairly similar to the approach I used to win the 2008 Rotohog Baseball contest. I’d recommend doing the following in MS-Excel: </p>
<p>1. Calculate player statistics in all scoring categories per minute played. This gives you an idea how good the player is when they&#8217;re actually in the game.</p>
<p>2. Estimate expected minutes played for all players. Assuming that you don&#8217;t follow basketball closely, I&#8217;d probably use something like the average of the last five or 10 games. You&#8217;re going to miss out on players filling in for very short periods when someone is injured (and those probably are the best values), but at least you&#8217;ll also avoid giving a high ranking to most players who <i>were</i> filling in and will be pushed to the bench by returning players. Giving someone who won&#8217;t play a top rating is a much worse mistake to make here than underrating someone who will play more than expected. For instance, don&#8217;t put too much stock into the fact that <b>Daniel Gibson</b> played 32 minutes Tuesday night in the Cavs&#8217; win over the Raptors. First of all, it was a blowout win. Secondly, with<strong> Sasha Pavlovic</strong> sidelined with the flu, Boobie got extra run. That won&#8217;t happen consistently, so don&#8217;t let it fool you into overinflating his value. </p>
<p>3. Make an adjustment to play statistics based on whether the player is home or away. I would add 2 per cent for home players and subtract 2 per cent for players on the road. That may be slightly under adjusting, but in general I&#8217;d rather do this than overshoot with my adjustments.</p>
<p>4. Make an adjustment for opponent. You can get fancy with this and try to use statistics for how opponents affect specific statistics or players at specific positions&#8217; stats, but for starters just calculate the impact specific teams have on opponents’ scoring, and adjust projections by that amount. So if a given team allows 95 points per game vs. a league average of 100 points per game, then adjust their opponents&#8217; projections in all categories down the difference (in this case, 5 per cent, so your calculation will be projections x 0.95).</p>
<p>5. Calculate a points projection using Draftbug&#8217;s scoring system based on the statistical projection you&#8217;ve done.</p>
<p>6. Select a team that balances solid undervalued players based on your points projection with top rated players (who may or may not be underpriced). </p>
<p>You can refine this strategy to be more precise, but I&#8217;m fairly certain that it will be a winning one, even in the relatively crude form described above.</p>
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		<title>The Wire Troll: Flip this House Edition</title>
		<link>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/02/02/the-wire-troll-flip-this-house-edition/</link>
		<comments>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/02/02/the-wire-troll-flip-this-house-edition/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Feb 2009 15:40:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Herija Green</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BASKETBALL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Herija Green]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Wire Troll]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Anthony Parker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Atlanta Hawks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brian Skinner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Charlotte Bobcats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chicago Bulls]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daequan Cook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Drew Gooden]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eddie House]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fantasy basketball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Flip Murray]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hilton Armstrong]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Indiana Pacers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jason Thompson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joakim Noah]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kevin Love]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles Lakers]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[NBA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Orleans Hornets]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Ramon Sessions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ryan Gomes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sacramento Kings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shaquille O'Neal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Toronto Raptors]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rotorob.com/?p=2889</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Unlike his on-again, off-again marriage, Shaquille O&#8217;Neal is now playing every game.
Centres
Shaquille O&#8217;Neal, Phoenix Suns: With Shaq no longer sitting out a game in back-to-back situations, there&#8217;s no longer any reason for him not to be owned in all leagues. He&#8217;s probably on a roster in your league already, but just in case he&#8217;s not [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="leftimage"><a href="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/shaquille_oneal.jpg"><img src="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/shaquille_oneal.jpg" alt="shaquille_oneal" title="shaquille_oneal" class="alignleft"/></a><br />
Unlike his on-again, off-again marriage, Shaquille O&#8217;Neal is now playing every game.</div>
<p><strong>Centres</strong></p>
<p><strong>Shaquille O&#8217;Neal</strong>, Phoenix Suns: With Shaq no longer sitting out a game in back-to-back situations, there&#8217;s no longer any reason for him not to be owned in all leagues. He&#8217;s probably on a roster in your league already, but just in case he&#8217;s not he should be added immediately.</p>
<p><em>Best of the Rest</em></p>
<p>After reaching double figures in scoring just twice in Chicago&#8217;s first 42 games, <strong>Joakim Noah</strong> has done it three times in the last four. His board work was rock solid in January (7.4 RPG) so if his scoring is coming around he would make a quality pickup especially while <strong>Drew Gooden</strong> remains out&#8230;<strong>Hilton Armstrong</strong> has started the Hornets&#8217; last four contests &#8211; his numbers haven&#8217;t opened many eyes yet, but he&#8217;s at least worth watching in deeper leagues.</p>
<p><strong>Forwards</strong></p>
<p><strong>Kevin Love</strong>, Minnesota Timberwolves: The rookie wrapped up an excellent month of January (12.6 points, 10.0 rebounds per game) with his sixth consecutive double-digit point performance on Friday against the Lakers. His minutes are still fairly low, which should help him avoid the rookie wall, making him a potentially solid long-term investment for the rest of the season. It won&#8217;t hurt that since Love has picked it up, Minny has turned its season around.</p>
<p><strong>Jason Thompson</strong>, Sacramento Kings: Sacramento has been a disaster this season, but the play of Thompson has to be considered a silver lining for the Kings. Over his last 11 games, the 12th overall pick of last year&#8217;s draft has scored at least 10 points and posted four double-doubles. At this point he&#8217;s a must own in all leagues.</p>
<p><em>Best of the Rest</em></p>
<p>In four games since returning from a brief absence, <strong>Brian Skinner</strong> has averaged 9.3 points and 7.0 rebounds per night &#8211; those aren&#8217;t numbers worthy of consideration in shallow leagues, but he holds value in deeper formats&#8230;Love isn&#8217;t the only player in Minnesota&#8217;s frontcourt producing fantasy-worthy numbers as <strong>Ryan Gomes</strong> totaled 13.2 points and 5.4 boards per game (both seasonal bests for a month) in January. Consider adding him if you&#8217;re shorthanded up front.</p>
<p><strong>Guards</strong></p>
<p><strong>Mickael Pietrus</strong>, Orlando Magic: After missing most of the past two months due to injury, Pietrus returned with a vengeance on Tuesday, pouring in 27 points and 10 rebounds against the Pacers. Before he got hurt he was averaging 13.2 points and 3.8 boards per outing in December. Don&#8217;t wait too long to pull the trigger on Pietrus, who plays a solid all-around game and is a more than capable shooter from downtown.</p>
<p><strong>Flip Murray</strong>, Atlanta Hawks: What has gotten into Murray in recent weeks? The journeyman has reached double figures in 10 of his last 11 games, including three outings of 20 or more in his last six. However, Murray contributes little outside of his scoring &#8211; he doesn&#8217;t dish out many assists or do much work on the boards and most of his points come from inside the three-point line.</p>
<p><em>Best of the Rest</em></p>
<p>Names we mentioned last week that have done nothing to diminish our enthusiasm: Milwaukee&#8217;s <strong>Ramon Sessions</strong> (15.5 PPG, 2.8 RPG and 4.5 APG in four games without <strong>Michael Redd</strong>), Toronto&#8217;s <strong>Anthony Parker</strong> (hit double digits in scoring in each of the final 10 games in January) and Charlotte&#8217;s <strong>Raja Bell</strong> (137 points in his last seven contests)&#8230;Another name we&#8217;ve mentioned numerous times in the past remains inexplicably available in some leagues &#8211; <strong>Daequan Cook</strong> knocked down 35 threes in January and averaged 11.1 points per game&#8230;Those looking for additional help from beyond the arc should consider <strong>Eddie House</strong>. The veteran knocked down an amazing 23 triples in his final five games of the month &#8211; get him while he&#8217;s hot.</p>
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		<title>NBA Today: Time for a Royal Beatdown</title>
		<link>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/01/27/nba-today-time-for-a-royal-beatdown/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Jan 2009 18:47:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>RotoRob</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rotorob.com/?p=2779</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Sacramento faces some serious long odds tonight in Cleveland.
The host team has won three straight games (and seven of nine) and owns a pristine 20-0 record in their own building; the visitor has dropped its last five games, is a dismal 3-20 away from home and has failed to beat a single Eastern Conference team [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="leftimage"><a href="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/01/normal_unfair_fight.jpg"><img src="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/01/normal_unfair_fight.jpg" alt="normal_unfair_fight" title="normal_unfair_fight" class="alignleft"/></a><br />
Sacramento faces some serious long odds tonight in Cleveland.</div>
<p>The host team has won three straight games (and seven of nine) and owns a pristine 20-0 record in their own building; the visitor has dropped its last five games, is a dismal 3-20 away from home and has failed to beat a single Eastern Conference team this season. Oh, and the visitor has lost its last four against its opponent. Hmmm….whoever will prove victorious Tuesday night in the Sacramento Kings at Cleveland Cavaliers match? This is one of those situations where it’s so ridiculously a mismatch that you can’t help but feel that the situation is ripe for an upset. Yet, strangely, I still won’t put any bucks on the Kings.</p>
<p>After a somewhat disappointing 2007-08, the Cavs have taken a huge step forward this season. They are blowing the aging Pistons away in the Central Division, have the best winning percentage in the Eastern Conference (but trail Boston by three wins) and are just a half-game back of the Lakers for the best mark in the entire association. Their offense is <em>way </em>better (top 10 after being one of the worst in the NBA last year) and their defense, which was pretty good last season, is vastly improved with an NBA-best 90.1 PPG surrendered. </p>
<p>Cleveland is coming off a tough four-game western swing where it dropped the opener, losing badly to the Lakers, but then won the final three over Portland, Golden State and Utah, the bookends of that trio both being among the NBA’s toughest pit stops. After this impressive run, can we finally say with conviction that the Cavs are a legitimate NBA Championship contender?</p>
<p>As if things aren&#8217;t going well enough for Cleveland, check out its upcoming schedule. Tuesday, as mentioned, Sacramento pays a visit. Then, the Cavaliers head to Orlando, in what should prove to be a very tough game and possible Eastern Conference semifinal preview. After that, the Clippers are in town; then a visit to Detroit, followed by a home date against Toronto and a visit to New York. All told, Cleveland faces a fairly easy schedule heading into the early part of February. By then, it could boast the best record in the entire NBA.</p>
<p>How good has Cleveland been at home? It has been completely shutting down its opponents, limiting them to just 88 PPG while winning by an average margin of 16.4 PPG. These blowouts have directly led to slightly lower numbers from <strong>LeBron James</strong>, who has been provided plenty of opportunity to rest during extended garbage time. Western Conference visitors? No problem-o. Cleveland has taken out all six such beasts – three of which (Denver, Houston and New Orleans) are decent to good road teams.</p>
<p>With Cleveland’s D being as brilliant as it is this year, when the Cavs score 100 points, forget about it – it’s lights out for the other team. They are 22-0 when this happens, including an equal 11-0 at home and on the road.</p>
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		<title>The Wire Troll: Sounding A Redd Alert</title>
		<link>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/01/25/the-wire-troll-sounding-a-redd-alert/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Jan 2009 00:28:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Herija Green</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[Al Horford]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rotorob.com/?p=2771</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Centres
Greg Oden, Portland Trail Blazers: While he&#8217;s still experiencing some growing pains in his first season on the court, Oden showed exactly what he is capable of with his 24-point, 15-rebound performance against the Bucks on Monday &#8211; he also sandwiched a pair of six-block efforts on either side of his work against Milwaukee. There [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Centres</strong></p>
<p><strong>Greg Oden</strong>, Portland Trail Blazers: While he&#8217;s still experiencing some growing pains in his first season on the court, Oden showed exactly what he is capable of with his 24-point, 15-rebound performance against the Bucks on Monday &#8211; he also sandwiched a pair of six-block efforts on either side of his work against Milwaukee. There are still going to be nights where he disappears, but he should be owned in all leagues. If he&#8217;s available in yours he should be added immediately.</p>
<p><b>Kendrick Perkins</b>, Boston Celtics: Last Sunday I noted that Perkins wasn&#8217;t expected back for about a month. Well, disregard that as the bruiser is already back in action after missing only five games. Thanks for the accurate injury information <em>&lt;site name withheld&gt;</em>. Douchebags. But I digress; Perkins would make an excellent addition if another owner cut him loose a couple weeks back. He&#8217;s not much of a scorer, but he does strong work on the glass and is a capable shot blocker.</p>
<p><em>Best of the Rest</em></p>
<p>There&#8217;s no denying things are a mess in Clipperland right now, but rookie <strong>DeAndre Jordan</strong> might be worth a watch list designation &#8211; in three starts, he&#8217;s averaging 11.3 points, 9.7 rebounds and 3.7 blocks per game&#8230;Former Florida Gator <strong>Joakim Noah</strong> has started Chicago&#8217;s last six games, and while his scoring has been underwhelming, he recently logged 29 rebounds in a two-game stretch. If you&#8217;re hurting on the glass he could be worth a flier in deeper leagues&#8230;I liked <strong>Amir Johnson</strong> coming into the season, and while he hasn&#8217;t done a lot to justify my pre-season endorsement thus far, his insertion back into the starting lineup creates a glimmer of hope. Take note&#8230;<strong>Al Horford&#8217;s</strong> continued absence allows <strong>Zaza Pachulia</strong> to retain his modest value, though he has had as many poor games as good ones during his ongoing seven-game stint as a starter.</p>
<p><strong>Forwards</strong></p>
<p><strong>Charlie Villanueva</strong>, Milwaukee Bucks: A popular sleeper candidate entering the season, Villanueva has had more than his fair share of snooze-inducing performances thus far. However, since re-entering the starting lineup on January 16, the former UConn star has averaged 22.2 points and 8.8 rebounds in six games &#8211; that includes four double-doubles. He has tantalized with his talent before and is a must own in all leagues based on his enormous potential.</p>
<p><strong>Danilo Gallinari</strong>, New York Knicks: The rookie returned January 17 after missing nearly three months. He has played sparingly thus far, but performed well in his limited run. He&#8217;s a quality shooter and could post strong numbers in <strong>Mike D&#8217;Antoni&#8217;s</strong> offense if he gets enough minutes, which is something the Knicks figure to provide him given their 18-25 mark. Add him if you&#8217;re looking to roll the dice on some upside.</p>
<p><em>Best of the Rest</em></p>
<p><strong>Travis Outlaw</strong> has had some big games this month, highlighted by his 33-point outing on January 12 &#8211; overall he has reached double figures in seven of his 10 January games. However, his peripheral numbers could still use some work, which makes him an option only for owners trolling for scoring&#8230;Don&#8217;t let the fact that he looks like a mid-&#8217;80s villain in a <strong>Jean-Claude Van Damme</strong> flick dissuade owners in deep leagues from taking a look at <strong>Louis Amundson</strong>. He&#8217;s ringing up 5.9 points, 5.4 boards, 1.1 blocks and 2.4 bottles of pony tail wax per night this month &#8211; not bad&#8230;Could a rash of front court injuries in the Big Easy actually be enough to make <strong>Melvin Ely</strong> a fantasy factor? Unlikely &#8211; but just in case owners in deep leagues should place him on their watch list.</p>
<p><strong>Guards</strong></p>
<p><strong>Ramon Sessions</strong>, Milwaukee Bucks: A season-ending knee injury to <strong>Michael Redd</strong> should mean we&#8217;ll be seeing the back court pairing of <strong>Luke Ridnour</strong> and Sessions quite a bit in the coming weeks. Sessions has been quiet in January (6.8 points, 3.8 assists per game) but has shown before to be capable of posting very strong fantasy numbers. He deserves consideration in all leagues. <strong>Charlie Bell</strong> (ankle) should also appear on your radar, though he continues to deal with an ankle injury of his own and hasn&#8217;t played in the team&#8217;s last three games.</p>
<p><strong>Kirk Hinrich</strong>, Chicago Bulls: The 28-year-old continues to impress off the pine in the Windy City, pouring in 43 points and 22 assists in his last three games combined. He isn&#8217;t shy from beyond the arc either (12-for-30 in seven games this month), making him a solid three-category addition even in shallower formats.</p>
<p><strong>Anthony Parker</strong>, Toronto Raptors: December was a terrible month for Parker, who averaged 6.9 points per contest in 14 games. He has bounced back since the calendar changed to 2009, returning to the starting lineup and posting respectable point (13.3 PPG) and rebounding (4.9 RPG) numbers. His overall shooting has been solid, though he continues doing masonry work beyond the three-point line, heaving up bricks at a 27.8 per cent clip. If you&#8217;re adding him, make sure your three-point percentage can take the hit.</p>
<p><em>Best of the Rest</em></p>
<p>Injuries have forced <strong>Sasha Pavlovic</strong> into the starting lineup for the past four games, during which he has logged nearly 34 minutes per night. His numbers (11.3 PPG, 4.8 RPG) aren&#8217;t stellar, but his minutes suggest those in need of back court help find a spot for him&#8230;In seven games since returning from injury, <strong>Raja Bell</strong> has launched 31 triples &#8211; unfortunately he has only hit nine of them. Still, that kind of volume makes him a possibility for teams searching for a boost from downtown&#8230;A strong December gave way to a brutal January for <strong>Mario Chalmers</strong>, but he has shown signs of playing out of his slump recently. If a less patient owner gave him his walking papers you can consider bringing him on board.</p>
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		<title>NBA Today: Pistons Look to Get Back on Track</title>
		<link>http://www.rotorob.com/2009/01/21/nba-today-pistons-look-to-get-back-on-track/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Jan 2009 18:58:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>RotoRob</dc:creator>
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Wearing the hat of a Champion isn&#8217;t going to help Allen Iverson lead Detroit to a Championship.
The Detroit Pistons snapped an ugly five-game losing streak (their longest skid in five years) by beating Memphis on Monday, and Wednesday they’ll look to start a winning streak when a struggling Raptor squad heads into Motown. Fortunately, beating [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="rightimage"><a href="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/01/allen_iverson.jpg"><img src="http://www.rotorob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/01/allen_iverson.jpg" alt="allen_iverson" title="allen_iverson" class="alignright"/></a><br />
Wearing the hat of a Champion isn&#8217;t going to help Allen Iverson lead Detroit to a Championship.</div>
<p>The Detroit Pistons snapped an ugly five-game losing streak (their longest skid in five years) by beating Memphis on Monday, and Wednesday they’ll look to start a winning streak when a struggling Raptor squad heads into Motown. Fortunately, beating Toronto at the Palace has never been a difficult chore for Detroit; it’s won 10 straight such battles (a streak that dates back to April 2003 and includes an average margin of victory of 11 freaking points!).</p>
<p>Detroit was rolling along at 21-11 early this month, but a 2-6 skid since then has dropped them well off the pace in the Central Division behind Cleveland, and down to fifth overall in the East, with Miami inching closer.</p>
<p>Wednesday is the start of a three-game homestand, but after Toronto, things get tough, with visits by Dallas and Houston. </p>
<p>Detroit may be sporting a new look tonight; the Pistons have been going with a three-guard starting lineup featuring <strong>Allen Iverson</strong>, <strong>Rodney Stuckey</strong> and <strong>Richard Hamilton</strong>, but there’s been plenty of talk that coach <strong>Michael Curry</strong> plans to send AI or Rip to the bench and move <strong>Amir Johnson </strong>into the starting five. From all indications, it will be Hamilton who will be demoted.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.rotorob.com/2008/12/01/game-report-portland-trail-blazers-detroit-pistons/">A few weeks after the deal that sent <strong>Chauncey Billups</strong> to Denver for Iverson, we noted that the Pistons weren’t exactly kicking ass with AI in their lineup</a>. While Iverson is coming off a big game Monday (27 points, five boards, two steals), this kind of effort has been too rare, and to say he’s been inconsistent almost seems like a compliment. He’s recorded seven steals in the past three games, but before that had really struggled to offer value in a category he’s traditionally been among the league leaders in. In fact, since arriving in Detroit, Iverson has simply not shot the ball well. Sure, the 16-for-28 showing over the past two games has been nice, but like I said, he’s been inconsistent as hell. While I doubt strongly that Iverson is headed to the bench, what would happen to his level of consistency if that did happen? From an overall value perspective, it’s hard to believe it can get any worse for Iverson.</p>
<p>Hamilton, meanwhile, continues his decline over the past couple of seasons. <a href="http://www.rotorob.com/2008/10/26/charity-stripe-media-league-draft/">He lasted until the end of the 12th round in my media league draft </a>this fall, but the way things are going now, he may find himself at the very end of the draft next season. Rip has actually been doing pretty well in past few games, notwithstanding some foul trouble Monday that limited his court time. But he missed several games last month and earlier this in January with a groin injury and looked quite rusty upon his return. But beyond the injuries (or perhaps as a result of them), a disconcerting trend has developed in Hamilton’s game. His FT attempts per game has been in free fall for the past couple of months; in fact, in five games this month, he’s only gotten to the charity stripe <i>four</i> times. For a scorer who shoots an extremely high percentage from the line, that’s really going to cut into his point total. The bottom line here is that since arriving in Detroit, Hamilton has never been less valuable. And a move to the bench – which seems all but assured starting against Toronto Wednesday – is not going to help matters.</p>
<p>So despite his less-than-inspiring season, AI ranks second among all Eastern Conference guards in All-Star voting behind only <strong>Dwyane Wade</strong>. Damn, even <strong>Vince Carter</strong> – who’s been slipping himself the past couple of seasons – deserves to be ahead of Iverson in voting.</p>
<p><strong>Tayshaun Prince</strong> has not been impervious to the inconsistency. He’s sunk just 7-of-25 in the past two games and on Monday he turned in a real stinker, managing just four points and three boards with no assists, blocks or treys. Prince started the month with some fine shooting nights, so we’ll cut him some slack for now. He’s actually enjoying his finest season overall and he remains among the most durable players in the game, but whatever happened to Prince’s perimeter game? He used to be good for one trey per game; two years later, he’s getting just half that many. By the way, Prince ranks eighth among forwards in the East. No way should he be behind rookie <strong>Michael Beasley</strong> at seventh, and you could make an argument given the time that <strong>Josh Smith</strong> lost to injury that Prince could also slide ahead of J Smoov at sixth in the voting.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.rotorob.com/2008/10/27/2008-09-nba-draft-kit-top-25-centres/ ">When we ranked <strong>Rasheed Wallace</strong> as the 12th best centre heading into the season</a>, we expected his PT to continue to decline in a deeper Detroit frontcourt. Well, that hasn’t happened, yet Wallace’s overvalue has slipped anyways, and he’s now barely a top 20 centre. While Sheed enjoyed a decent game on Monday (13 points, eight boards, three steals, two assists), his outside shooting has gotten worse and worse as the season has progressed. He’s sunk just 7-of-27 from beyond the arc over the past four games, dropping his 3-point percentage down to 26.5 for January. As I mentioned, Wallace is getting more action this season, and he’s done a fantastic job from the line, but owners are aghast at the fact his FG percentage, steals, blocks, assists and scoring have all dropped. Sheed currently ranks third in voting among Eastern Conference centres, and he’s definitely outplayed No. 2 <strong>Samuel Dalembert</strong>, but I’d buy it if <strong>Jermaine O’Neal</strong> (currently fourth in voting), despite his injuries, was ahead of Wallace.</p>
<p>A real problem for Detroit lately has been finding offense late in games. During the five-game losing skid, the Pistons failed to score even 20 points in the fourth quarter once, averaging just 15.2 points in the final stanza over that stretch. Hell, even when they snapped the losing streak on Monday, they only managed 20 points in the fourth. Fortunately, they limited Memphis to a laughable 10 points to ice the W. Still, the Pistons are going to need to find a way to put late points on the board if they hope to improve their playoff positioning.</p>
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