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Dear RotoRob: The Magnificent Seven

January 7, 2008 | By James Morris | comment on this post
Is Carlos Ruiz a keeper candidate?
Should you keep Carlos Ruiz, centre, at $6? (Nuccio DiNuzzo/Chicago Tribune)

Dear RotoRob.com,

I was wondering if you could help me with some keeper league decisions. I currently play in a highly competitive league with 16 teams. The salary cap is $300 and we draft both NL and AL players and we can protect seven players. It’s a 5×5 league.

Each league team will purchase an “Active Roster” of 24 players broken down by position as follows:

1. Nine pitchers.
2. One first baseman, one third baseman, one first OR third
baseman.
3. One second baseman, one shortstop, one second baseman OR
shortstop.
4. Five outfielders.
5. Two catchers.
6. Two utility players.

Below are the players that I can protect along with the 2008 dollar value. Which seven would you keep?

Carlos Ruiz, C, PHI $6
Brian Schneider, C, NYM $6
Prince Fielder, 1B, MIL $13
Derrek Lee, 1B, CHC $36
Chase Utley, 2B, PHI $17
Jose B. Reyes, SS, NYM $21
Bobby Abreu, RF, NYY $39
Vladimir Guerrero, RF, LAA $43
Kenny Lofton, CF, CLE $13
Chris B. Young, CF, ARI $17
Delmon Young, RF, MIN $18
Bronson Arroyo, SP, CIN $13
Francisco Cordero, RP, CIN $21
Felix Hernandez, SP, SEA $13
Brandon Morrow, SP, SEA $5
Javier Vazquez, SP, CHW $14
Billy Wagner, RP, NYM $42
Kazuo Matsui, 2B, HOU $6
Garrett Atkins, 3B, COL $19
Coco Crisp, CF, BOS $25
Cliff Floyd, LF, TB $5
Joe Blanton, SP, OAK $5
Pedro Martinez, SP, NYM $5
Jake Peavy, SP, SD $34
Ben Sheets, SP, MIL $31

Thanks!

Mitch

Mitch,

The seven that I keep are:

Fielder, Utley, Reyes, Vladdy, Hernandez, Peavy and Pedro.

The reason I go Pedro over Sheets is because of Pedro’s salary compared to Sheets. Pedro can still dominate and Sheets is just as much of an injury risk anyway.

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5 Responses to “Dear RotoRob: The Magnificent Seven”

  1. Todd says:

    Forget Vlad and go with Delmon Young instead. He’s much cheaper and might give you more for you money than Vlad whom you could get at the same price ($43) in the auction. I’m thinking the same thing for Peavy. If the going price for pitcher tops out around $34, there’s no sense in holing onto him for $34. Get him in the auction. I’d think strongly about Garett Atkins, Chris B. Young, or Blanton if you’re worried about your pitching.

  2. James Morris says:

    Vlad is equal to Delmon Young?

    Vlad: .324/.403/.547
    Young: .288/.316/.408

    The Metrodome was 27th out of the 30 MLB ballparks for HR’s. So, Tampa Bay was more suited as a place for him to power up than Minnesota is.

    You cut Peavy? Are you crazy? I don’t risk losing him to an owner that may be willing to go as high as $40 to get an ace. While you COULD get him cheaper, you could also have to spend more money to get him back.

  3. tlmcleod says:

    My concern with the 7 selections listed is that makes up a total $ value of $146 of a total of $300, nearly 50%. You have 17 players to still purchase with $154 making an avg of $9 per player. Having played 10 years+ in a cap league I have my serious doubts that you’d ever be able to assemble a competitive team averaging $9 per player filling out the balance of your roster. My suggestion would be to look at either Delmon or Atkins rather than Vladdy and either Blanton or Vazquez compared to Peavy. This would give you $45+ to utilize at your draft which I believe you’ll need. Do you really get $45 worth of stats by keeping Vladdy and Peavy over those other options? I don’t think so.

  4. Todd says:

    Young won’t give you Vlad numbers, I didn’t mean that. But Young could give you a better return on your investment. Vlad will probably produce numbers worthy of a $43 bid. But Young has the potential to produce $30+ numbers at $18. Young has a better chance of being a bargain than Vlad. That’s the key to winning an auction league. Same with Peavy. Maybe you have to go $40 for him in the auction. Depends on the league. I’d be willing to take that chance. But I’m betting Chris Young, Atkins, or Blanton outperform their price. By going with the cheaper players you have more money to throw around in the auction.

  5. RotoRob says:

    I agree with Todd and Tim. As much as I love Vlady, and am NOT completely sold on Delmon, his potential upside — especially in the power department — makes him a reasonable risk. And that extra $25 will come in very handy. ROI is the key.

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